Asian League · resolved market
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gwangju FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c2c934211d7f2c08365bc02ce99dfaa3543a6c008dcfdeb7f199b25f3665ee2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,808
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,732
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,808 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 1,512$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.81 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 44c | 1,105$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.83 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 909.87$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.76 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8930…db72backed Yes | 59c | 850.47$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 78c | 704.58$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.01 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 23c | 674.06$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.78 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Yes | 54c | 556.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 29c | 457.1$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.28 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 77c | 414.04$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.23 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked Yes | 24c | 367.68$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e92…5280backed Yes | 22c | 363.64$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 23c | 350.26$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.56 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 22c | 347$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.34 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked Yes | 10c | 216.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Yes | 12c | 204.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 69c | 197.66$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.85 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 38c | 188.37$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.18 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 16c | 183.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6237backed Yes | 34c | 162.21$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 77c | 151.74$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.81 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Yes | 22c | 132.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…b719backed Yes | 22c | 127.07$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 73c | 110.79$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed No | 58c | 97$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.63 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…209dbacked No | 41c | 95.08$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.96 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 42c | 91$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.78 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 78c | 82.44$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 36c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 78c | 59.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 22c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 76c | 53.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 78c | 52.46$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 67c | 50.63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked No | 42c | 48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…d0abbacked Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 67c | 45.58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 68c | 44.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 77c | 38.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 240 | 61.7%148 W · 92 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 78c | 34.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 238 | 59.7%142 W · 96 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 75c | 31.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed No | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 48c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed No | 63c | 24.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 53c | 23.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1dc…48fabacked No | 78c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 78c | 16.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25b4…635abacked No | 78c | 16.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gwangju FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-08-02?Yes won
- Will Gwangju FC win on 2026-08-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.