Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FK Polissia win on 2026-07-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7ceea00451e674a960904423bcde2304f36e2baec888af63328dcac7fcb92e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,163
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,163 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 13c | 4,930$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.38 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 17c | 3,750$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.54 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 17c | 3,406$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.94 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 18c | 2,220$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.29 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 9c | 2,010$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.64 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Yes | 11c | 1,878$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.71 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 21c | 1,596$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.73 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x937a…dbc8backed Yes | 23c | 1,304$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 18c | 1,084$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.03 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 1c | 962.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes | 20c | 937.58$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.52 | 128 | 32.8%42 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb283…4501backed Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Yes | 20c | 799.95$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 16c | 750.19$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.03 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcda7…d089backed Yes | 4c | 750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 19c | 695.49$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.19 | 264 | 17.8%47 W · 217 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Yes | 26c | 600$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +238.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…474abacked No | 80c | 506.58$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.32 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…794ebacked Yes | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 17c | 496.56$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.89 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 18c | 437$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.66 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…e868backed Yes | 54c | 210$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.95 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +6.6wins | +0.20per pick | 19cpaid | +88%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 8c | 200.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Yes | 15c | 195.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c4…0d5bbacked Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 19c | 155$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 19c | 152.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Yes | 22c | 141$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 18c | 127.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476f…5554backed Yes | 18c | 109.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…ab12backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…0cc4backed Yes | 17c | 99.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 47 | 10.6%5 W · 42 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Yes | 19c | 96.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18c…dfa5backed Yes | 20c | 95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fc…cf21backed Yes | 23c | 86.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce4…b727backed Yes | 17c | 80.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b0…56f2backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 18c | 74.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 20c | 70.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 80c | 67.77$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 80c | 63.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5e…980bbacked No | 79c | 57.87$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 67cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked No | 77c | 51.04$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed No | 80c | 50.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 30 | 90%27 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 79cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ce35backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed No | 76c | 46.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 76c | 35.82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 80c | 31.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 80c | 25.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…7537backed No | 79c | 25.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 21 | 90.5%19 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 78cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3547…496fbacked No | 79c | 24.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Polissia win on 2026-07-29?this page
- Will FC København vs. FK Polissia end in a draw?No won
- Will FC København win on 2026-07-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.