Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC København vs. FK Polissia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2825fbc0c05681956275b72098d3083aab376f1695f3d1baee7dc0833f9a3087
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,707
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,111
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,707 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 24c | 7,500$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798.5 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 76c | 4,418$3,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.69 | 1,037 | 46.1%478 W · 559 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 2,920$2,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.25 | 920 | 50.9%468 W · 452 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 25c | 2,874$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.87 | 1,117 | 35.8%400 W · 717 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 75c | 1,184$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.21 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 79c | 1,064$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.22 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 77c | 942.76$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.77 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 22c | 778.5$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.03 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed Yes | 12c | 585.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.23 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 11c | 540.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.09 | 771 | 41.8%322 W · 449 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 75c | 497.73$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.43 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 76c | 422$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.07 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 20c | 400$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked Yes | 26c | 361.54$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 316.91$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.89 | 1,046 | 50.2%525 W · 521 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 75c | 281.14$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.86 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 75c | 146.79$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.7 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 76c | 136.64$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 13c | 123.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e95…d86dbacked No | 77c | 105.81$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…dba6backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 443 | 56.2%249 W · 194 L | +23.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 76c | 79.38$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0882…dceabacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 27c | 72.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36fe…b131backed Yes | 23c | 71.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 76c | 65.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 73c | 65.41$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…ab12backed Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed No | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 76c | 19.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC København vs. FK Polissia end in a draw?this page
- Will FC København win on 2026-07-29?Yes won
- Will FK Polissia win on 2026-07-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.