TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - ESEA European Finals Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
QUAZARof QUAZAR, Fire Flux Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,872
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,040

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,872 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x98a7…b766backed QUAZAR79c2,679$2,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.9919652.6%103 W · 93 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc542…7fe1backed Fire Flux Esports62c1,196$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.741353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed Fire Flux Esports41c996.47$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.1428943.6%126 W · 163 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed QUAZAR58c800.11$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.0457641.5%239 W · 337 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Fire Flux Esports42c752.49$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.695,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc96…d916backed QUAZAR54c721.96$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.9610333%34 W · 69 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c5b…b82bbacked QUAZAR66c718.28$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.693658.3%21 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed QUAZAR53c704.24$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.582,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6eac…e409backed QUAZAR61c666$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.7424551.8%127 W · 118 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed Fire Flux Esports37c646$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.8125142.6%107 W · 144 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked QUAZAR50c582.16$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.741,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4919…8db1backed Fire Flux Esports52c565.18$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.4730%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31ab…20e9backed QUAZAR57c557.56$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.0314048.6%68 W · 72 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed QUAZAR56c500.29$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.132,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Fire Flux Esports50c473.83$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.275833.4%253 W · 505 L-48.9wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Fire Flux Esports34c446.85$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.75,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Fire Flux Esports37c439.43$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.853,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked QUAZAR49c418.52$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.532,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19fc…1d7dbacked Fire Flux Esports70c375.77$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.69250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6384…3d67backed Fire Flux Esports80c370.71$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.363663.9%23 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Fire Flux Esports22c348.55$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.681,31944.2%583 W · 736 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc790…85b1backed QUAZAR31c319.46$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.463938.5%15 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked QUAZAR69c319.38$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.837859.5%225 W · 153 L+1.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Fire Flux Esports35c289.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.321,04357.3%598 W · 445 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked QUAZAR47c279.27$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.2741054.6%224 W · 186 L-2.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed QUAZAR56c272.5$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.051,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Fire Flux Esports36c267.28$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2239038.5%150 W · 240 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Fire Flux Esports32c265.1$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.517,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed QUAZAR54c254.6$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.952,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dc6…4b55backed QUAZAR59c254.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.243464.7%22 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+26.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Fire Flux Esports12c225.69$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.112,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed QUAZAR59c216$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.5649941.7%208 W · 291 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91d5…8a03backed Fire Flux Esports47c214.04$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012157.9%70 W · 51 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Fire Flux Esports25c212.17$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.413,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked QUAZAR40c209.96$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.31,35252%703 W · 649 L+29.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd050…c915backed Fire Flux Esports67c206.19$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.793748.6%18 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed QUAZAR60c201.89$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.9140639.4%160 W · 246 L-1.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…8d97backed Fire Flux Esports55c200.5$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11032662%202 W · 124 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e1d…2b19backed QUAZAR7c200$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1868143.2%35 W · 46 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd241…6c35backed QUAZAR7c200$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1867742.9%33 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked QUAZAR30c191.35$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.181,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d70…ae13backed Fire Flux Esports21c189.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.774045%18 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x326d…3584backed QUAZAR7c184$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.124721.3%10 W · 37 L-13.4wins-0.29per pick50cpaid-37.8%equal weight29-0.19 edge/pick
0x3013…279bbacked Fire Flux Esports53c176.5$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9419935.2%70 W · 129 L-18.2wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6712…a95bbacked Fire Flux Esports47c168$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1213938.1%53 W · 86 L-11.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c6c…5e36backed Fire Flux Esports30c165.18$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8123956.5%135 W · 104 L+15.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf120…ce3cbacked QUAZAR48c154.79$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.799145.1%41 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked Fire Flux Esports51c149.99$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9958745.5%267 W · 320 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0893…d1f1backed Fire Flux Esports54c149$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.46333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked QUAZAR52c139.75$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.132,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf188…4a83backed QUAZAR38c124.79$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.372626.9%7 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Fire Flux Esports33c122.5$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.933,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5d08…5d9fbacked QUAZAR31c119$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.1120248%97 W · 105 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9051…32d2backed Fire Flux Esports54c111.15$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6030859.1%182 W · 126 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked QUAZAR38c105.51$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.82,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed QUAZAR15c100.17$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1270042.3%296 W · 404 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Fire Flux Esports73c100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7385851.6%443 W · 415 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked QUAZAR48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5233340.2%134 W · 199 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed Fire Flux Esports38c95.44$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2739440.4%159 W · 235 L+30.0wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+20.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3ed1…3695backed Fire Flux Esports65c93.42$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked Fire Flux Esports41c90.48$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4251252.1%267 W · 245 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked Fire Flux Esports48c89.65$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7639772.5%288 W · 109 L+38.5wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbd37…9d71backed Fire Flux Esports42c83.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357347.9%35 W · 38 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked QUAZAR34c81.16$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.772,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39f6…c6efbacked Fire Flux Esports44c77.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6318939.2%74 W · 115 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa27a…c986backed Fire Flux Esports41c76.12$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed QUAZAR53c74.04$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.81,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e30…4764backed QUAZAR74c73.88$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.881030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-36.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x08e0…f4a0backed Fire Flux Esports42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3083856.1%470 W · 368 L+31.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Fire Flux Esports42c71.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3050051.4%257 W · 243 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed QUAZAR55c70.45$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8132844.8%147 W · 181 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Fire Flux Esports33c69$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6845754.5%249 W · 208 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30dc…f26ebacked QUAZAR32c67.88$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8816236.4%59 W · 103 L-0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked QUAZAR38c64.72$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.334,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed QUAZAR57c62.27$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.860451%308 W · 296 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee22…7054backed QUAZAR54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.611844.1%52 W · 66 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked QUAZAR54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.619954.8%109 W · 90 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e5…c8d1backed QUAZAR36c56.88$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.174955.1%27 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+31.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x91aa…c94abacked Fire Flux Esports44c56.77$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255345.3%24 W · 29 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4d5…26eabacked Fire Flux Esports31c55.65$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.251225%3 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20f8…f1a7backed Fire Flux Esports45c54.67$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.491643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed QUAZAR52c53.14$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.511,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b2a…4b25backed QUAZAR40c51.34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9931…ea8cbacked Fire Flux Esports42c51$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.426666.7%44 W · 22 L+6.5wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+18.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3208…07a7backed QUAZAR57c49.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4913839.9%55 W · 83 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e46…8c1cbacked QUAZAR54c44.13$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.323654.7%129 W · 107 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf0b…7cccbacked QUAZAR60c43.33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3345450.2%228 W · 226 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71db…aba8backed QUAZAR36c42.15$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.157349.3%36 W · 37 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6498…0debbacked QUAZAR60c41.84$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.742650%13 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Fire Flux Esports42c40.9$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2322049.1%108 W · 112 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed QUAZAR53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.817038.8%66 W · 104 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d65…6a04backed Fire Flux Esports65c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268542.4%36 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f56…d7dbbacked QUAZAR51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.63930.8%12 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-32.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Fire Flux Esports59c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.61,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Fire Flux Esports33c39.03$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7340857.1%233 W · 175 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed QUAZAR46c38.29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6840542%170 W · 235 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6986…3369backed Fire Flux Esports43c37.77$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.129849%48 W · 50 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4c0…eca1backed QUAZAR55c36.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.641540%6 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-31.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5046…a07ebacked QUAZAR42c35.76$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.767074.3%52 W · 18 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfce8…2686backed Fire Flux Esports43c35.02$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1523963.2%151 W · 88 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.