CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - ESEA European Finals Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a83a53202b7913d0323f443d8a50080d36bdb4111e921773e748c36f6e7364f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- QUAZARof QUAZAR, Fire Flux Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,872
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,040
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,872 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98a7…b766backed QUAZAR | 79c | 2,679$2,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.99 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc542…7fe1backed Fire Flux Esports | 62c | 1,196$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.74 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed Fire Flux Esports | 41c | 996.47$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.14 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed QUAZAR | 58c | 800.11$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.04 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Fire Flux Esports | 42c | 752.49$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.69 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc96…d916backed QUAZAR | 54c | 721.96$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.96 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5b…b82bbacked QUAZAR | 66c | 718.28$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.69 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed QUAZAR | 53c | 704.24$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.58 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed QUAZAR | 61c | 666$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.74 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Fire Flux Esports | 37c | 646$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.81 | 251 | 42.6%107 W · 144 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked QUAZAR | 50c | 582.16$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.74 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4919…8db1backed Fire Flux Esports | 52c | 565.18$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed QUAZAR | 57c | 557.56$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.03 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed QUAZAR | 56c | 500.29$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.13 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Fire Flux Esports | 50c | 473.83$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.2 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Fire Flux Esports | 34c | 446.85$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.7 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Fire Flux Esports | 37c | 439.43$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.85 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked QUAZAR | 49c | 418.52$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.53 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19fc…1d7dbacked Fire Flux Esports | 70c | 375.77$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6384…3d67backed Fire Flux Esports | 80c | 370.71$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.36 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Fire Flux Esports | 22c | 348.55$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.68 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc790…85b1backed QUAZAR | 31c | 319.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.46 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked QUAZAR | 69c | 319.38$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 378 | 59.5%225 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Fire Flux Esports | 35c | 289.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked QUAZAR | 47c | 279.27$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.27 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed QUAZAR | 56c | 272.5$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.05 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Fire Flux Esports | 36c | 267.28$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 390 | 38.5%150 W · 240 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fire Flux Esports | 32c | 265.1$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.51 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed QUAZAR | 54c | 254.6$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.95 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed QUAZAR | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Fire Flux Esports | 12c | 225.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed QUAZAR | 59c | 216$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.56 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…8a03backed Fire Flux Esports | 47c | 214.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Fire Flux Esports | 25c | 212.17$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.41 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked QUAZAR | 40c | 209.96$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.3 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…c915backed Fire Flux Esports | 67c | 206.19$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.79 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed QUAZAR | 60c | 201.89$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.91 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…8d97backed Fire Flux Esports | 55c | 200.5$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 326 | 62%202 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1d…2b19backed QUAZAR | 7c | 200$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd241…6c35backed QUAZAR | 7c | 200$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked QUAZAR | 30c | 191.35$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.18 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d70…ae13backed Fire Flux Esports | 21c | 189.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x326d…3584backed QUAZAR | 7c | 184$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.12 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -13.4wins | -0.29per pick | 50cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…279bbacked Fire Flux Esports | 53c | 176.5$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 199 | 35.2%70 W · 129 L | -18.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6712…a95bbacked Fire Flux Esports | 47c | 168$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.12 | 139 | 38.1%53 W · 86 L | -11.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed Fire Flux Esports | 30c | 165.18$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.81 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf120…ce3cbacked QUAZAR | 48c | 154.79$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.79 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Fire Flux Esports | 51c | 149.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0893…d1f1backed Fire Flux Esports | 54c | 149$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked QUAZAR | 52c | 139.75$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.13 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf188…4a83backed QUAZAR | 38c | 124.79$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.37 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Fire Flux Esports | 33c | 122.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.93 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked QUAZAR | 31c | 119$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.11 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9051…32d2backed Fire Flux Esports | 54c | 111.15$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked QUAZAR | 38c | 105.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed QUAZAR | 15c | 100.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.12 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Fire Flux Esports | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked QUAZAR | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Fire Flux Esports | 38c | 95.44$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 394 | 40.4%159 W · 235 L | +30.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed1…3695backed Fire Flux Esports | 65c | 93.42$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Fire Flux Esports | 41c | 90.48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Fire Flux Esports | 48c | 89.65$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.76 | 397 | 72.5%288 W · 109 L | +38.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd37…9d71backed Fire Flux Esports | 42c | 83.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked QUAZAR | 34c | 81.16$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.77 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…c6efbacked Fire Flux Esports | 44c | 77.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 189 | 39.2%74 W · 115 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27a…c986backed Fire Flux Esports | 41c | 76.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed QUAZAR | 53c | 74.04$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e30…4764backed QUAZAR | 74c | 73.88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Fire Flux Esports | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Fire Flux Esports | 42c | 71.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed QUAZAR | 55c | 70.45$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 328 | 44.8%147 W · 181 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Fire Flux Esports | 33c | 69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30dc…f26ebacked QUAZAR | 32c | 67.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.88 | 162 | 36.4%59 W · 103 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked QUAZAR | 38c | 64.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.33 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed QUAZAR | 57c | 62.27$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee22…7054backed QUAZAR | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked QUAZAR | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e5…c8d1backed QUAZAR | 36c | 56.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.17 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91aa…c94abacked Fire Flux Esports | 44c | 56.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…26eabacked Fire Flux Esports | 31c | 55.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20f8…f1a7backed Fire Flux Esports | 45c | 54.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed QUAZAR | 52c | 53.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2a…4b25backed QUAZAR | 40c | 51.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9931…ea8cbacked Fire Flux Esports | 42c | 51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…07a7backed QUAZAR | 57c | 49.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e46…8c1cbacked QUAZAR | 54c | 44.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 236 | 54.7%129 W · 107 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked QUAZAR | 60c | 43.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71db…aba8backed QUAZAR | 36c | 42.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…0debbacked QUAZAR | 60c | 41.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Fire Flux Esports | 42c | 40.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed QUAZAR | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 170 | 38.8%66 W · 104 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d65…6a04backed Fire Flux Esports | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…d7dbbacked QUAZAR | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Fire Flux Esports | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Fire Flux Esports | 33c | 39.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed QUAZAR | 46c | 38.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 405 | 42%170 W · 235 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…3369backed Fire Flux Esports | 43c | 37.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c0…eca1backed QUAZAR | 55c | 36.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…a07ebacked QUAZAR | 42c | 35.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 70 | 74.3%52 W · 18 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed Fire Flux Esports | 43c | 35.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 239 | 63.2%151 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - ESEA European Finals Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 WinnerFire Flux Esports won
- Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 WinnerQUAZAR won
- Map Handicap: QUA (-1.5) vs Fire Flux Esports (+1.5)Fire Flux Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.