NHL · resolved market
World Championships: Slovakia vs. Canada
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57c0d408155252b3935763bdb7c43955be7134c3aa487df80c53d1776c74dcd1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canadaof Slovakia, Canada
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,813
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,813 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd15…4a07backed Slovakia | 13c | 2,112$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.27 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Slovakia | 13c | 760.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Slovakia | 12c | 602.16$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.26 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…7d17backed Slovakia | 7c | 323.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc790…85b1backed Slovakia | 15c | 304.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Slovakia | 14c | 260.76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Slovakia | 23c | 255.85$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.17 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Canada | 76c | 199.93$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeeb…8ce3backed Slovakia | 13c | 191.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x173d…8091backed Slovakia | 25c | 167.68$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…8792backed Slovakia | 17c | 155.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb533…9703backed Slovakia | 8c | 130$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…e3d9backed Slovakia | 14c | 127$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5718…7fdebacked Slovakia | 11c | 116.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Canada | 78c | 111.11$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Slovakia | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Slovakia | 12c | 99.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +6.8wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Canada | 73c | 98.58$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3207…e248backed Slovakia | 13c | 92.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Slovakia | 22c | 87.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…9129backed Slovakia | 28c | 77.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…bf7fbacked Slovakia | 15c | 76.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52c1…1084backed Slovakia | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…72f4backed Slovakia | 15c | 65.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa224…6810backed Slovakia | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Canada | 78c | 59.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1a…8f46backed Canada | 77c | 42.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Canada | 75c | 41.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x978f…e14dbacked Slovakia | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39dd…7af9backed Canada | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Canada | 76c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46b3…d3debacked Canada | 77c | 23.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked Canada | 75c | 17.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.