Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Colorado State Rams vs. Michigan State Spartans (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ecb4625cc590454f997a76bb2a8ae7f4395e9df6deaa9d405c194b66dc778a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michigan State Spartansof Colorado State Rams, Michigan State Spartans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,500
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,500 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Colorado State Rams | 14c | 6,223$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.5 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Colorado State Rams | 17c | 584.11$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.56 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…fcf3backed Colorado State Rams | 7c | 250$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Colorado State Rams | 14c | 236.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Colorado State Rams | 20c | 123.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Colorado State Rams | 14c | 114.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed Colorado State Rams | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Colorado State Rams | 19c | 90.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Michigan State Spartans | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…9cf1backed Michigan State Spartans | 61c | 25.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +95%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…fe3bbacked Michigan State Spartans | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +114.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed Michigan State Spartans | 68c | 18.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.