Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 154.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47e1214d8ba3af2dd616b54a2b77acc8c9e4031785526964bbae993fe50dfce0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,711
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,711 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under | 51c | 6,461$3,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,294.93 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 49c | 6,018$2,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,069 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Over | 47c | 495.64$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.69 | 237 | 54.9%130 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 50c | 396.66$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb145…df85backed Over | 51c | 391.78$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.53 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 57c | 327.07$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.85 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 44c | 283$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.31 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 49c | 245.1$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.1 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 237.91$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.58 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 51c | 204.08$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7595…50ffbacked Over | 51c | 194.36$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 59c | 191.66$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.58 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 50c | 103.26$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e24…b31fbacked Over | 51c | 48.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 57c | 38.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Over | 52c | 38.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 76c | 17.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 154.5this page
- Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red RaidersTexas Tech Red Raiders won
- Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 147.5Over won
- Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 152.5Over won
- Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 153.5Over won
- Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 155.5Over won
- Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 156.5Over won
- Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 157.5Over won
- Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 159.5Over won
- Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 162.5Under won
- Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-10.5)Texas Tech Red Raiders won
- Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-11.5)Texas Tech Red Raiders won
- Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-6.5)Texas Tech Red Raiders won
- Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-7.5)Texas Tech Red Raiders won
- Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-8.5)Texas Tech Red Raiders won
- Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-9.5)Texas Tech Red Raiders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.