South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Aldosivi vs. CA Huracán end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ade29ac85bddf8a8490a6349bd044c7a724c35d237f46ed4dc4b4937e0a29a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,922 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 50c | 6,582$3,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,286.87 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,199.95 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 49c | 4,276$2,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,180.51 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed No | 64c | 2,236$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.04 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 70c | 1,778$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.2 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed No | 64c | 1,087$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.47 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 64c | 800$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 39c | 641$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.01 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 27c | 606.85$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.71 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 63c | 532.9$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.63 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked No | 63c | 442.79$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.64 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 70c | 325.6$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.55 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…24f0backed Yes | 49c | 317.9$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.13 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed No | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Yes | 36c | 244$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.16 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 53c | 232.48$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.28 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 36c | 202.24$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.44 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 64c | 184.3$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.58 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 37c | 180$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 38c | 160$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e4…498cbacked Yes | 37c | 149$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 148.62$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2284…51f9backed Yes | 37c | 136$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 11c | 124$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 9c | 120.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0e58…732bbacked Yes | 36c | 118$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9dc…f099backed Yes | 36c | 117$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 35c | 111.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.45 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…86d1backed Yes | 37c | 108.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed No | 32c | 92.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 57c | 89.53$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.33 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 64c | 79.15$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 47c | 76.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 30c | 75.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed No | 34c | 73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe23…e72bbacked Yes | 50c | 72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x65a3…5e0bbacked No | 64c | 69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 63c | 68.72$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbae…fbb5backed No | 64c | 64$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03bd…9762backed No | 64c | 57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…692abacked No | 55c | 56.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 40cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30ff…09d5backed No | 64c | 52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cd…e98dbacked Yes | 46c | 51.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed No | 65c | 51.74$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…45d7backed Yes | 73c | 50.74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 46c | 48.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fa…7eedbacked No | 64c | 48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38f…0791backed No | 65c | 46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed Yes | 48c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a66…9e92backed No | 64c | 39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Yes | 36c | 39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 36c | 36.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Yes | 39c | 35.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…3be7backed No | 64c | 34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e4…4bc7backed No | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa143…c081backed No | 64c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 48c | 27.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 52c | 25.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 63c | 25.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16a8…9323backed No | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 64c | 24.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -8.7wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6598…4048backed No | 64c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 64c | 23.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec9e…c1eebacked Yes | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed No | 64c | 21.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca18…3e45backed No | 64c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 73c | 17.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Aldosivi vs. CA Huracán end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-03-16?No won
- Will CA Huracán win on 2026-03-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.