South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-03-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfd8ac6c50a7ab8954a714575a5aada6dda228f805aab9a0ebe2c8f290f0b07a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,198
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,198 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 15c | 6,183$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.27 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 1,823$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.59 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 22c | 1,745$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.34 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 27c | 1,156$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.96 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 845.77$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.72 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 79c | 306.58$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.02 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 14c | 301.55$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed No | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbafc…1a98backed Yes | 30c | 155.76$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 29c | 120.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 16c | 110.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…913ebacked Yes | 23c | 109.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 101.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yes | 23c | 76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 75c | 73.66$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 15c | 73.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 74c | 71.76$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Yes | 17c | 68.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc990…80bbbacked No | 75c | 66.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…4b85backed Yes | 23c | 65.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb13…b7f8backed No | 79c | 62.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 22c | 55.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 21c | 50.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8322…b5fbbacked No | 76c | 46.18$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed Yes | 28c | 35.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 26cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc73b…c3e9backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-03-16?this page
- Will CA Aldosivi vs. CA Huracán end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA Huracán win on 2026-03-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.