South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Huracán win on 2026-03-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x076dbefc2b2521b1000c5954fcbb2e7b3de7dd02293c714f660659ae2669ffe5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,696 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 23c | 5,359$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.98 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 4,145$3,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.65 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 4,000$2,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.1 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 33c | 4,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.99 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 67c | 1,999$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.48 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 64c | 1,149$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.61 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 31c | 876.79$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.87 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf66…3436backed Yes | 35c | 823.94$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.93 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 27c | 740.59$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.77 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 64c | 513$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.59 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked No | 66c | 405.71$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.94 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…24f0backed Yes | 36c | 347.22$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 11c | 340$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed No | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3001…4ac2backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22b3…dcafbacked Yes | 36c | 262.56$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.52 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 65c | 227.95$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.81 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 16c | 210.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 36c | 208.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 78c | 203$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.94 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7db2…ca52backed Yes | 25c | 200.69$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 76c | 165.15$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 30c | 157.53$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.21 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked No | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked Yes | 19c | 149.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 34c | 147.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 67c | 104.32$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.43 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 28c | 89.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3326…2d1ebacked Yes | 36c | 88.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b83…66a2backed Yes | 33c | 75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 18c | 74.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…b945backed No | 69c | 71.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc990…80bbbacked No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yes | 27c | 65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 29c | 63.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 35c | 63.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed Yes | 34c | 62.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76a3…2aa6backed No | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 36c | 56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Yes | 36c | 56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 36c | 55.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Yes | 36c | 55.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed6…46e2backed No | 65c | 52.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 31c | 45.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5765…43a3backed Yes | 36c | 43.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 36c | 41.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…72eabacked Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…2bf4backed No | 74c | 40.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 35c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 35c | 37.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 69c | 35.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc73b…c3e9backed No | 70c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 64c | 34.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Yes | 36c | 31.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 64c | 30.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed No | 65c | 26.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 65c | 24.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x019b…8edebacked No | 72c | 20.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed No | 71c | 15.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked No | 70c | 14.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…3b8bbacked No | 72c | 14.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf000…5281backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Huracán win on 2026-03-16?this page
- Will CA Aldosivi vs. CA Huracán end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-03-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.