TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-03-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$285,893
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$286,977

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $285,893 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x036c…178dbacked No69c113,424$78,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,184.692871.4%20 W · 8 L+6.0wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+46.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Yes31c107,901$33,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,433.8713053.1%69 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Yes32c63,000$20,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,16010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No68c57,912$39,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,531.833145.2%14 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+42.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes37c13,458$5,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,013.8723643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes28c10,728$2,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,993.2947748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No69c10,532$7,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,271.741668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+25.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No65c8,775$5,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,072.3397146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No65c4,785$3,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,655.312451.6%64 W · 60 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa313…1f26backed Yes16c4,386$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.421118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-58%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes32c3,415$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.3525149%123 W · 128 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No69c3,184$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.271747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed No68c2,952$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.311485.7%12 W · 2 L+4.2wins+0.30per pick56cpaid+50.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No62c2,508$1,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.15054%27 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No64c1,602$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.211,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed No70c1,547$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes68c999.99$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.8839567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No31c828.76$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.841,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Yes32c774.62$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No63c642.66$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.1129370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes35c617$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.6819073.7%140 W · 50 L+18.6wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Yes31c606$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.864252.4%22 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No63c598.31$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.389957.6%57 W · 42 L+13.1wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+40.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Yes31c579.81$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.452263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes37c550$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.56546.2%30 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed No69c529.55$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.16475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes32c522.38$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.718251.2%42 W · 40 L+12.1wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+41.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1904456.8%25 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No67c500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1658845.5%40 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes31c475.17$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.34035%14 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No70c451.18$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.5945140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes31c409.22$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.867334.2%25 W · 48 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes31c403$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.4337649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes32c400.18$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.7210853.7%58 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No62c400$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1523655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Yes32c375$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes33c360.5$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.935326.4%14 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2a7…7916backed Yes32c309$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa11d…72a8backed No68c299.98$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed No70c273.94$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.182147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No73c246.76$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.3977751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e2d…40b1backed Yes30c244.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Yes31c235$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.854445.5%20 W · 24 L+5.7wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+36.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf639…b945backed No69c230.53$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.11475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+27.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdaf…e58fbacked No56c225.77$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.832060%12 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9094…dcabbacked No70c220.49$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.75100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+92.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Yes31c216.71$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1810648.1%51 W · 55 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No75c212.96$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2821545.1%97 W · 118 L-20.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-29.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No63c211.95$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.8280358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes34c192.8$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4154949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes32c188.9$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8842947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes34c185.92$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.453,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcc2…8c9abacked No70c168$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.41070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76a0…fb5bbacked Yes31c164.58$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca9e…c15bbacked Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes41c151.23$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.712536%9 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Yes31c150.94$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.791540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No62c150$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578653.5%46 W · 40 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No62c150$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576256.5%35 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No62c150$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5719657.1%112 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes53c149.39$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.176142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes54c148.07$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.6113950.4%70 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No69c146.49$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.4112254.1%66 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yes30c145.51$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6539234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9313046.2%60 W · 70 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c61…f5c9backed Yes37c139$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Yes30c132.14$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.644955.1%27 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe68d…a292backed Yes32c127.44$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.781947.4%9 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Yes33c123.15$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.641250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+25.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Yes34c122.9$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.795839.7%23 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No71c119.65$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1623548.9%115 W · 120 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No62c115$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.75651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0673…afabbacked Yes14c110.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4580%4 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.42per pick38cpaid+121.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x974e…8703backed Yes37c108.1$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.71643.8%7 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314025%10 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385152.9%27 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No62c90$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.25154.9%28 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56cd…2ddcbacked Yes46c87.74$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Yes32c87.5$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282548%12 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Yes32c86.91$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.812965.5%19 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes30c79.84$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.251,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dd5…11bbbacked No64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.131353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No62c75$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.520154.2%109 W · 92 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked No57c74.15$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.873762.2%23 W · 14 L+5.5wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+42.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked No68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.531376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+35.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc57…ce71backed Yes21c72.92$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1667…4806backed No69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No62c70.44$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7737249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No76c66.31$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.75549.1%27 W · 28 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Yes31c65.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.35850%29 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No68c64.94$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0526346.8%123 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9add…c04bbacked No64c64$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0275…596dbacked No70c62.86$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.86475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+37.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No62c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.86256.5%35 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No62c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.85056%28 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No62c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.84953.1%26 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No62c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.85352.8%28 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No62c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.85152.9%27 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b67…e889backed Yes31c59.87$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.63447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.