Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Tromsø IL (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x161750c050c263d4b031566e617a341e709c2537b8eb8f883c29a9f019cf0d10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tromsø ILof Tromsø IL, Fredrikstad FK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,034
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,034 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Fredrikstad FK | 68c | 4,282$2,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,919.51 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Tromsø IL | 31c | 3,563$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,462.63 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Fredrikstad FK | 69c | 1,300$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tromsø IL | 32c | 1,032$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.81 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Tromsø IL | 32c | 733.44$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.97 | 113 | 26.5%30 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Fredrikstad FK | 69c | 720.34$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.83 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Tromsø IL | 32c | 539.62$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.05 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Tromsø IL | 34c | 427.84$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.59 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Tromsø IL | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Tromsø IL | 32c | 217$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.56 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Tromsø IL | 32c | 215.38$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.76 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed Fredrikstad FK | 66c | 199.92$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Tromsø IL | 33c | 161.86$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.52 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x726b…c72bbacked Tromsø IL | 34c | 150.37$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Tromsø IL | 33c | 133.38$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.59 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Fredrikstad FK | 68c | 114.57$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.19 | 86 | 65.1%56 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcf…bdd7backed Tromsø IL | 32c | 111.59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Fredrikstad FK | 69c | 106$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.14 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Fredrikstad FK | 69c | 99.85$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Tromsø IL | 32c | 90.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.47 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Fredrikstad FK | 68c | 85.55$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.33 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fredrikstad FK | 65c | 85.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.41 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Fredrikstad FK | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf25a…d724backed Fredrikstad FK | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -58%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Fredrikstad FK | 69c | 56.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.03 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Fredrikstad FK | 69c | 45.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e4…4bc7backed Tromsø IL | 30c | 44.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Fredrikstad FK | 69c | 43.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Fredrikstad FK | 70c | 42.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64c0…ef50backed Tromsø IL | 31c | 38.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf824…651fbacked Tromsø IL | 34c | 38.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Fredrikstad FK | 68c | 38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbca3…483abacked Fredrikstad FK | 65c | 35.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Fredrikstad FK | 69c | 34.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Fredrikstad FK | 69c | 30.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Fredrikstad FK | 66c | 29.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Fredrikstad FK | 69c | 26.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…988dbacked Fredrikstad FK | 70c | 25.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Fredrikstad FK | 69c | 22.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | -10.6wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Fredrikstad FK | 69c | 21.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…7676backed Fredrikstad FK | 69c | 16.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…b8d3backed Fredrikstad FK | 68c | 15.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Tromsø IL (-1.5)this page
- Tromsø IL vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tromsø IL vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Tromsø IL vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 3.5Over won
- Tromsø IL vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.