TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Sharks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,695

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,695 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Under43c50,672$21,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,782.3710050%50 W · 50 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over57c26,725$15,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,421.1751550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Under42c25,000$10,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,499.951,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over57c14,501$8,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,181.4936748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over57c9,322$5,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,008.4679350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over58c8,093$4,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,403.8236648.6%178 W · 188 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over57c5,675$3,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,456.122,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over57c5,627$3,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,419.831,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Under44c5,012$2,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,192.224240.5%17 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over58c3,190$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.886852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Under44c2,424$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.242240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fa5…4f56backed Over58c2,353$1,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.092661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Over56c2,291$1,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.214954.4%81 W · 68 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Under43c2,055$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.611,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.1485250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Over58c1,500$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6307357.5%42 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under42c1,500$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.9862346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Over56c1,304$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.741,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over57c1,292$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.5684953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Under42c1,080$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.422142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeccd…d100backed Over57c849.95$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.986259.7%37 W · 25 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under42c783.71$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.1691653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under43c679.07$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29231848.1%153 W · 165 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Under42c636.58$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.363342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Under42c530$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.624654.5%134 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Under42c526.14$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.9810049%49 W · 51 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34ca…9de7backed Over58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.245457.4%31 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67f4…87bdbacked Over58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.241758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Over57c505.05$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.173930.8%12 W · 27 L-6.4wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-41.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Under42c499.98$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.9933652.1%175 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Over57c438.6$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.612544.8%56 W · 69 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Over58c409.4$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.9513845.7%63 W · 75 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over57c265.67$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.2459450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over56c248.82$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.482,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Over58c241.38$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.389654.2%52 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66df…7ea5backed Over57c219.3$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.38850%44 W · 44 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ae4…fc82backed Under44c214.08$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.224346.1%112 W · 131 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37fc…7d57backed Over57c208.56$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.68757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e3b…83fcbacked Under44c197.58$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.94540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over57c192.98$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.981,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf232…c01cbacked Over57c187.59$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.661457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab00…b2b1backed Under44c187.28$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4714.3%1 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.43per pick57cpaid-71.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over57c180$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.462447.3%295 W · 329 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc948…314bbacked Under44c173.99$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.56520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-66.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9572…ea8ebacked Under43c164$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.521942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x718e…c203backed Over57c163.91$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.481154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over56c139$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1653050.6%268 W · 262 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over57c138.38$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0629448.6%143 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Over58c119.03$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.997635.5%27 W · 49 L-12.1wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-33%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xcab9…5df5backed Under43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504831.3%15 W · 33 L-7.9wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-35.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3f60…68d8backed Under44c111.47$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.05520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-59.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaec2…30f9backed Over57c110.26$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.41812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.40per pick52cpaid-78.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc2e3…2e82backed Over58c103.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.451478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+24.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x461b…30ddbacked Over58c101.72$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.722951.7%15 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under43c100.5$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2235553%188 W · 167 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Over57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4324350.2%122 W · 121 L-13.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x92fa…4604backed Over58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe49b…adf9backed Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Over57c99.02$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.917664.5%49 W · 27 L+10.3wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+27.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over56c92$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4833745.7%154 W · 183 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Over56c91.88$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4314553.1%77 W · 68 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Over58c86.83$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.836642.4%28 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe47e…7a94backed Under43c81.34$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Under43c74.98$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.247548%36 W · 39 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddbd…e738backed Under43c74$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.822045%9 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e4…4bc7backed Over58c72.8$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.581560%9 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bd…20e9backed Over57c71.7$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.836857.4%39 W · 29 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Over58c70.4$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.576243.5%27 W · 35 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x81b0…6592backed Over53c70.27$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.095440.7%22 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Under42c70$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.658837.5%33 W · 55 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over57c66$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4986049.2%423 W · 437 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Under47c64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0878038.5%300 W · 480 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4f1…a074backed Over58c60.34$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Over58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.210860.2%65 W · 43 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Under49c57.02$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7330348.8%148 W · 155 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4f8…2869backed Under44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6356553.6%303 W · 262 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x843e…e477backed Over58c51.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6715654.5%85 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over56c50.42$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1819651.5%101 W · 95 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Under42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2192444.5%411 W · 513 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over76c49.87$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.91,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5193…b348backed Under43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201020%2 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-62.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfe58…ba98backed Under43c46.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+55.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over56c45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.853849.4%266 W · 272 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over67c44.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.751,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Over57c44.38$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1917042.4%72 W · 98 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Under43c43.23$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.596144.3%27 W · 34 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over56c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.68060%48 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9867…bc76backed Over58c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.83767.6%25 W · 12 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0877…6770backed Under43c38.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.771154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under42c38.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3547753.9%257 W · 220 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Over56c38.04$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.747352.1%38 W · 35 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under33c37.48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.371,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over58c36$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1234752.4%182 W · 165 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bfc…8eb3backed Over58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.484450%22 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8011…fc8dbacked Under43c33.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under36c33.04$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.891,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Over57c29.82$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8211952.9%63 W · 56 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Over57c29.58$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.725547.3%26 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…2037backed Over58c29.55$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.41633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-41%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.