TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Athletic Club win on 2026-03-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$468,094

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $468,094 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 331 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4d30…a42dbacked Yes37c187,600$69,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69,007.713342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No64c62,407$39,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,466.688756.3%49 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No63c56,373$35,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,979.1150149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No77c29,677$22,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,795.074,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41e1…f9a8backed Yes21c16,110$3,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,334.08425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-62.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d80…ba3dbacked No62c9,275$5,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,524.51758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+33%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes21c9,048$1,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,864.223727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No63c7,000$4,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5905757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Yes5c5,737$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.725330.2%16 W · 37 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No64c5,562$3,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,029.181,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No80c5,028$4,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.871,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe64f…7d71backed No62c5,000$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,900850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No63c5,000$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,85021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes17c4,868$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.2590843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked No62c4,464$2,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,692.4660147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No63c4,444$2,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.516740.1%67 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x285d…b06ebacked No64c4,002$2,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,440.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6457…0611backed Yes37c4,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,48010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No63c4,000$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.9115952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No63c3,719$2,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,375.899058.9%53 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+30.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No62c3,678$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,397.6510539%41 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No63c3,533$2,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.1992254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes38c3,354$1,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,272.72,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes36c3,347$1,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,204.9549447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked No73c3,167$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.674062.5%25 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed No64c3,125$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1253857.9%22 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No63c2,718$1,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.1642851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cc9…18c4backed Yes36c2,700$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9721546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked No63c2,600$1,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.985253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No66c2,508$1,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.281,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No79c2,096$1,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.581,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No70c1,788$1,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.213,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00ce…8787backed No64c1,719$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed No64c1,717$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.562245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes37c1,708$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.2850243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes5c1,700$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7821322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x742c…acc0backed No60c1,690$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.831154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No78c1,630$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.347060%42 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No63c1,497$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.8935148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes38c1,407$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.6620449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed No63c1,386$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.764259.5%25 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes37c1,378$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.79840.8%40 W · 58 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes3c1,375$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404719.1%9 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick19cpaid-29.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes4c1,300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5115940.3%64 W · 95 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ea9…484fbacked Yes38c1,165$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.581338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-40.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x751d…9f55backed Yes37c1,021$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.661526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid+8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3704254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf706…f685backed Yes40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3605141.2%21 W · 30 L-7.6wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-28.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa10e…4ea1backed Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001947.4%9 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick31cpaid+49.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed No64c937.5$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.55959.3%35 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x53e3…cffabacked Yes3c891.68$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No63c800$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29622552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Yes22c800$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1761145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid-16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No63c793.21$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.4989050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No62c708.61$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.2721355.9%119 W · 94 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x973b…a912backed Yes37c686$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.82450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed No64c625$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2251464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No62c605.13$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.9520159.2%119 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No64c600$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21626853%142 W · 126 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No64c600$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21612954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No63c600$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22219255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No62c598.39$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.395950.8%30 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes37c560.14$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.253026.7%8 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No63c559.34$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.961,03547.9%496 W · 539 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed No64c546.88$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.881872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No63c545.62$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.723947.7%114 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a6…bca4backed Yes37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003633.3%12 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9548…1226backed Yes37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8aee…5fb6backed No79c538.33$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed No64c501.56$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.567159.2%42 W · 29 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+22.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1901,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No63c478.73$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.227854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes37c472.97$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1752128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-44.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes26c471.46$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.6858548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f92…7543backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked No76c444$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.567653.9%41 W · 35 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…08bbbacked Yes37c435.7$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.21425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-67.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Yes33c424.96$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1403429.4%10 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfc0…eb3cbacked Yes5c420$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010938.5%42 W · 67 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-3.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes16c406.25$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6537829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb1a…0b60backed No64c400$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1462161.9%13 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No79c400$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.514067.9%95 W · 45 L+12.4wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3511…17c3backed Yes40c384.35$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Yes41c366.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505844.8%26 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No64c360$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.612951.9%67 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ea…6e4ebacked No61c353$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.411533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd708…b9d2backed No64c351.56$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.562268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No71c350$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.519662.8%123 W · 73 L+20.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc18…2ce9backed Yes29c349.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.193946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c5f…ced0backed Yes29c349.98$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.492657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Yes31c349.3$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.788045%36 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x289c…79bcbacked Yes33c343.77$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.34540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-41%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a7c…4abbbacked Yes37c341.26$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x826c…1468backed Yes37c323.51$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9342…4d78backed No64c317.54$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.49580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+24.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11127652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11119750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11129053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.