TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Girona FC vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,994

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,994 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb31e…c120backed No70c4,519$3,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,355.83053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes30c4,314$1,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,294.062123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No72c3,583$2,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.7190843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No76c3,324$2,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8004,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes26c2,999$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76915446.1%71 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No71c2,926$2,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.1192254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked No72c1,881$1,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.2260147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes29c1,155$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3355232.7%17 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes26c1,084$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.9713249.2%65 W · 67 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No78c1,035$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.291,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes26c687$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.2915246.1%70 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a6…bca4backed Yes30c673.33$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023633.3%12 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x200d…f117backed Yes30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes25c640$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010245.1%46 W · 56 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x277e…259ebacked No71c563.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.381060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc490…6507backed Yes2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101850%9 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d0d…0a99backed Yes30c406.67$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1227838.5%30 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No71c400$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11626853%142 W · 126 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f92…7543backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d8b…4631backed Yes30c381.5$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x201d…2e13backed No75c371.17$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.87785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick57cpaid+51%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x36c8…2925backed No72c370.21$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.211369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick71cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Yes4c350$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14238.7%2 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick24cpaid-86.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No71c349.44$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.944452.3%23 W · 21 L-7.5wins-0.17per pick69cpaid-25.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd9fe…e4bebacked Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa89c…398fbacked Yes29c332.51$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.521118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-39.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes29c320$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.7126550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53e3…cffabacked Yes6c300.83$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Yes29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871625%4 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-41.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd733…b175backed Yes29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873863.2%24 W · 14 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+31.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc5b…08bbbacked Yes29c297.1$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.16425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-67.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes30c294.63$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3911342.5%48 W · 65 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefa5…b417backed No71c268$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.723658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No70c232.44$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7342851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes28c209.67$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.99034.4%31 W · 59 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes29c201$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2911146.8%52 W · 59 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe196…7976backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick25cpaid+15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f12…1937backed Yes30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604526.7%12 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick28cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d73…9d35backed Yes13c200$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.22142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb1a…0b60backed No70c199.98$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.992161.9%13 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6040…33a9backed No70c199.97$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.99837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-40%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9342…4d78backed No71c195.29$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.63580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+24.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No70c193.13$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9427854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes28c186$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.082842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed9d…444abacked Yes28c171.95$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.151428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-45.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Yes29c167.68$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6828847.6%137 W · 151 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e79…2d68backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes23c166.15$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.344424.1%107 W · 337 L-50.1wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x769b…2ea9backed Yes30c158.73$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.621315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick27cpaid-54%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes25c150$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3814023.6%33 W · 107 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2702…a103backed Yes26c126.92$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+37%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Yes29c121$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.099634.4%33 W · 63 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303342.4%14 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd983…d92dbacked Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302941.4%12 W · 17 L+3.9wins+0.14per pick28cpaid+32.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc85e…5d37backed Yes29c105.13$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2917651.7%91 W · 85 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307838.5%30 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2562744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299237%34 W · 58 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266645.5%30 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x449c…eaf5backed No70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301560%9 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x036f…0dc1backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed No70c99.97$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.996762.7%42 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9734…8f5ebacked Yes26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253435.3%12 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-31.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No75c87.64$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.841,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Yes30c86.7$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.014266.7%28 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ee…8067backed Yes30c86.67$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265940.7%24 W · 35 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b14…9848backed Yes30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d60…8cc1backed Yes30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+50.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e1c…a9a5backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206136.1%22 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdb4…1eb1backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202025%5 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4be7…8e91backed No70c77.39$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.221675%12 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+54.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x071c…bab9backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204632.6%15 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202548%12 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2807…27d5backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2212…b427backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207853.8%42 W · 36 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No70c75$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.575451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5362…d3fbbacked Yes29c75$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.752454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0630…9368backed Yes26c71.54$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.61643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf9…7205backed Yes30c70$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a9c…a2a5backed Yes26c69.23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1830%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes29c68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8450243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No71c65$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8520353.7%109 W · 94 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c2b…ec21backed Yes26c57.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed No71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.510754.2%58 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes23c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.511740.2%47 W · 70 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.510248%49 W · 53 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155939%23 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x40b8…e72dbacked No71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158028.8%23 W · 57 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1324052.9%127 W · 113 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.530956%173 W · 136 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1720…ef36backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf87…cc46backed Yes21c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.54037.5%15 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc2…b55ebacked No71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x993a…09fcbacked Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-12.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5ad8…43e2backed Yes22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112842.9%12 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes29c48.22$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.019840.8%40 W · 58 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No71c48$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9228558.2%166 W · 119 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x660e…76ccbacked Yes25c48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124422.7%10 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.