TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5a9c…a2a5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Cricket at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT2317.4%4 W · 19 L-5.2wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-71.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Cricket — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gujarat Titans win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.31
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.87
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.42
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.68
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.38
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.33
T20 World Cup: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
T20 World Cup: Zimbabwe vs West Indiesbacked Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10
ODi Series South Africa vs Pakistan, Women: South Africa vs Pakistanbacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+31.8%+$9.54
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Englandbacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$39.05
T20 World Cup: Nepal vs Scotland (Game 1)backed Scotland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$72.24
T20 World Cup: Canada vs New Zealand (Game 1)backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$14
T20 World Cup: Australia vs Sri Lanka (Game 1)backed Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$81.92
T20 World Cup: England vs Italy (Game 1)backed Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10
T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs UAE (Game 1)backed UAE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10
T20 World Cup: India vs Pakistan (Game 1)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$19.87
T20 World Cup: Namibia vs USA (Game 1)backed USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+51.5%+$34.52
T20 World Cup: New Zealand vs South Africa (Game 1)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
T20 World Cup: Netherlands vs USA (Game 1)backed USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+53.8%+$53.85
T20 World Cup: England vs West Indies (Game 1)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$23.03
T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs South Africa (Game 1)backed Afghanistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$22.8
T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs New Zealand (Game 1)backed Afghanistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$73.09
All 23 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.79
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.25
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+159.8%+$30.78
Will Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.95
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$25.48
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.47
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$97.65
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.76
Will Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$22.24
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick30cpaid+117.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$122.86
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.65
Raptors vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$14.7
Pistons vs. Thunderbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.17
All 5 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.99
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.35
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+100%+$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Zama launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Antalya: Adelina Lachinova vs Ekaterine Gorgodzebacked Gorgodze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.49
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.