Serie A · resolved market
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d4e4ab1c25d5ddabbc447470017e7c17fbd1045189cd3300687c79547d64596
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,565 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 6c | 12,788$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.35 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Yes | 8c | 11,065$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 13c | 10,468$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.28 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9707…1861backed Yes | 14c | 5,500$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 3c | 4,538$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.14 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 8c | 2,349$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.91 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 14c | 2,128$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.88 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1017…714fbacked Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 4c | 1,969$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.22 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe3…31d4backed Yes | 16c | 1,563$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed Yes | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x494e…c80cbacked Yes | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Yes | 16c | 1,001$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.16 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe35b…d8d0backed Yes | 16c | 881.25$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 4c | 725.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 10c | 703$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.61 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 3c | 695.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed Yes | 15c | 561.54$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.23 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 4c | 502.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 56 | 5.4%3 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 129 | 20.2%26 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 16c | 490$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.87 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c84…9acfbacked Yes | 6c | 469.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 14c | 452.62$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.37 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked Yes | 4c | 438.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes | 7c | 393.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb80a…1a43backed Yes | 8c | 366.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 8c | 353.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43ce…c264backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…7204backed Yes | 16c | 313.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc445…57c1backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…c20ebacked Yes | 16c | 309.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecad…875cbacked Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 15c | 274.41$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…3501backed Yes | 5c | 261.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3111backed Yes | 16c | 215$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 38cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed Yes | 16c | 209.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Yes | 11c | 206.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 18cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…09fcbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 17c | 176.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Yes | 15c | 173.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 15c | 172.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae9e…41f2backed Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe91d…2b74backed Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…8f73backed Yes | 7c | 143.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Yes | 8c | 139.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 8c | 126.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdc…a9afbacked Yes | 17c | 119.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb4…1eb1backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…4e11backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc331…9c82backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…8644backed Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 15c | 67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 171 | 42.7%73 W · 98 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 15c | 67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 272 | 26.8%73 W · 199 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9c…a2a5backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b0…0f7dbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…4f62backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dd…52dbbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29be…36adbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe804…39b7backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…a014backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0768…a4d1backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6de…12f7backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4024…4f45backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…78d9backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…612dbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.