NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf394d02e1dfb08f9f967181cc2fd073bd8354b4d28e9403afd83010d1b959029
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $720,976
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $712,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $720,976 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 53c | 591,882$313,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278,336.7 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 47c | 400,000$188,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188,000 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 47c | 100,000$47,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,000 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 47c | 52,980$24,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,930.4 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Under | 50c | 22,960$11,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,384.02 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 48c | 19,909$9,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,556.48 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 16,038$7,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,537.89 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 52c | 13,447$6,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,454.67 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 50c | 13,174$6,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,616.4 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 52c | 9,020$4,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,329.84 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 47c | 7,447$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 7,057$3,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,402.71 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,570 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Over | 48c | 5,900$2,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,067.99 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 4,765$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,364.8 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Over | 50c | 3,808$1,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904.19 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Under | 49c | 3,561$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.92 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 47c | 2,550$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.5 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 57c | 2,243$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.87 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Over | 48c | 2,169$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.88 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 46c | 2,107$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.7 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 2,082$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.05 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Over | 50c | 2,009$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.64 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Under | 49c | 1,968$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.54 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 48c | 1,516$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.64 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 52c | 1,347$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.23 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 52c | 1,336$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.4 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…3b71backed Under | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 52c | 1,092$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.95 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Under | 56c | 1,043$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.16 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcaeb…a226backed Under | 67c | 1,035$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.12 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 1,008$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.76 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 51c | 1,005$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.24 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7726…4627backed Over | 52c | 933.85$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.25 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Over | 51c | 931.78$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.57 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 53c | 916.79$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.9 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Over | 47c | 899.14$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.54 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked Over | 51c | 876.47$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.47 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ba…e89abacked Under | 49c | 791.35$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.76 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf498…3d66backed Under | 49c | 777.5$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.97 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Under | 49c | 768.13$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.12 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…03b7backed Over | 53c | 736.47$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.81 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 64c | 733.96$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.99 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over | 51c | 731.73$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.04 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Under | 48c | 685.92$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.24 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 660.12$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.58 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Under | 50c | 651.34$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.67 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 51c | 625.93$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.61 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 51c | 602.08$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.54 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Under | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 48c | 599.93$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.96 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33e9…39b0backed Under | 49c | 497.52$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.06 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over | 51c | 486.07$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.61 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…691bbacked Under | 49c | 427.26$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.39 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 46c | 418.34$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.55 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…815bbacked Under | 49c | 398.46$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.84 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ea…1b1abacked Under | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.88 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Under | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.88 | 405 | 41%166 W · 239 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Under | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Under | 49c | 392.61$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.38 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 54c | 391.68$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.51 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…18f9backed Over | 51c | 385.48$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.84 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…5667backed Under | 49c | 379.85$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.12 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Over | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.3 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc80…bfebbacked Under | 36c | 343.98$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.12 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Under | 48c | 330.61$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.61 | 166 | 42.2%70 W · 96 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…829bbacked Under | 57c | 315.98$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.7 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed Under | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6265…0d9fbacked Over | 50c | 292.63$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.14 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda85…bd68backed Under | 48c | 284.87$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.74 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Over | 49c | 284.34$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.57 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 49c | 281.64$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.74 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked Under | 47c | 265.95$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2913…d241backed Over | 53c | 259.06$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.05 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Under | 48c | 254.46$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.14 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 44c | 241.27$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.74 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Under | 61c | 240.15$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.49 | 338 | 37.3%126 W · 212 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a7…22a7backed Under | 48c | 237.15$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.83 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 57c | 227.66$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.84 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Under | 49c | 211$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.28 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Under | 47c | 210$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 50c | 210$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…d9f3backed Over | 52c | 209.18$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.41 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd11a…09eebacked Under | 49c | 202.27$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.87 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Under | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 217 | 53%115 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Under | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5c…0fc2backed Under | 49c | 193.88$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x776e…d6f3backed Over | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Over | 51c | 189.41$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.34 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 48c | 186.35$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.45 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4147…902abacked Over | 53c | 184.25$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.08 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Under | 47c | 180$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 31c | 177.6$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f55…4213backed Over | 55c | 171.42$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Under | 39c | 169.3$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.53 | 205 | 36.6%75 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 64c | 162.41$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.47 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a1…10dcbacked Under | 50c | 145.5$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +10.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 233.5this page
- Jazz vs. RocketsRockets won
- Jazz vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 231.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 232.5Over won
- Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Reed Sheppard: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-17.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-18.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.