Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Bucknell Bison vs. Navy Midshipmen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72ae770d6dcf33a75a674be64ea33b55dc9ae94bfc378d6df86392418fb0f2d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Navy Midshipmenof Bucknell Bison, Navy Midshipmen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,172 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb729…4e2ebacked Bucknell Bison | 30c | 13,403$3,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,970.71 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Navy Midshipmen | 79c | 8,271$6,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,713.26 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Navy Midshipmen | 71c | 8,174$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,374.66 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Navy Midshipmen | 75c | 3,454$2,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.31 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Bucknell Bison | 31c | 2,053$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.32 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Bucknell Bison | 10c | 1,990$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.49 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bucknell Bison | 23c | 1,797$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.18 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Navy Midshipmen | 57c | 1,451$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.56 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Bucknell Bison | 27c | 1,439$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.81 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Bucknell Bison | 11c | 1,376$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.65 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Bucknell Bison | 19c | 1,034$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.91 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Bucknell Bison | 18c | 1,019$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.7 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bucknell Bison | 14c | 941.05$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.96 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Bucknell Bison | 6c | 906.2$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.21 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Bucknell Bison | 7c | 575.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bucknell Bison | 24c | 541.62$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.44 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Bucknell Bison | 5c | 449.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bucknell Bison | 7c | 417.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Navy Midshipmen | 66c | 409.13$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.41 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Navy Midshipmen | 61c | 377.39$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.18 | 131 | 41.2%54 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985f…7a5bbacked Navy Midshipmen | 76c | 361.84$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.84 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Bucknell Bison | 26c | 346.41$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.11 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Bucknell Bison | 22c | 316.45$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.38 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bea…c4b2backed Bucknell Bison | 8c | 306.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bucknell Bison | 26c | 302.27$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.47 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bucknell Bison | 22c | 277.2$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4522…ef10backed Bucknell Bison | 18c | 270.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Bucknell Bison | 17c | 269.45$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Bucknell Bison | 42c | 231$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.02 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Bucknell Bison | 7c | 217.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Navy Midshipmen | 72c | 206.86$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.92 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7e…1a39backed Bucknell Bison | 24c | 204.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Bucknell Bison | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Bucknell Bison | 9c | 199.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Bucknell Bison | 7c | 199.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…df7fbacked Bucknell Bison | 18c | 193.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 73 | 19.2%14 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Bucknell Bison | 29c | 175.46$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.89 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…d11fbacked Bucknell Bison | 16c | 151.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Bucknell Bison | 8c | 149.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 167 | 21%35 W · 132 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Bucknell Bison | 22c | 149.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 140 | 27.1%38 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Bucknell Bison | 26c | 140.01$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Bucknell Bison | 24c | 138.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Navy Midshipmen | 80c | 138.68$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Bucknell Bison | 10c | 138.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb32c…fe05backed Bucknell Bison | 8c | 131.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Navy Midshipmen | 69c | 106.84$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.42 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Navy Midshipmen | 69c | 104.85$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Navy Midshipmen | 79c | 101.67$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bec…37d3backed Navy Midshipmen | 80c | 99.43$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Navy Midshipmen | 76c | 89.16$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed Navy Midshipmen | 65c | 88.06$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…9f27backed Bucknell Bison | 21c | 71.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed Navy Midshipmen | 58c | 68.35$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x138a…8197backed Navy Midshipmen | 73c | 68.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Navy Midshipmen | 76c | 61.59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Bucknell Bison | 26c | 60.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Navy Midshipmen | 71c | 60.02$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Bucknell Bison | 42c | 56.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Navy Midshipmen | 57c | 51.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f64…1409backed Bucknell Bison | 30c | 44.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Navy Midshipmen | 56c | 41.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Navy Midshipmen | 61c | 38.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Navy Midshipmen | 56c | 36.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…0debbacked Bucknell Bison | 29c | 34.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 68 | 26.5%18 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Navy Midshipmen | 53c | 33.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Navy Midshipmen | 80c | 31.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed Navy Midshipmen | 70c | 21.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x523c…5348backed Navy Midshipmen | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Navy Midshipmen | 64c | 19.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Navy Midshipmen | 73c | 13.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucknell Bison vs. Navy Midshipmenthis page
- Bucknell Bison vs. Navy Midshipmen: O/U 133.5Over won
- Spread: Navy Midshipmen (-15.5)Bucknell Bison won
- Spread: Navy Midshipmen (-16.5)Bucknell Bison won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.