Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Navy Midshipmen (-15.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a35c31ae37e3b49ce63b30917161df2b28350d389c34f9b159830b5d2d6095c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucknell Bisonof Navy Midshipmen, Bucknell Bison
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,256 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Navy Midshipmen | 48c | 6,245$2,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,997.5 | 155 | 57.4%89 W · 66 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Navy Midshipmen | 50c | 3,950$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.5 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bucknell Bison | 51c | 2,774$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.27 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Bucknell Bison | 52c | 1,906$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.26 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bucknell Bison | 51c | 1,372$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.31 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bucknell Bison | 50c | 632$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.16 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Bucknell Bison | 52c | 571.88$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.5 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Bucknell Bison | 52c | 571.88$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.5 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Bucknell Bison | 52c | 524.38$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.7 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Bucknell Bison | 52c | 454.7$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.26 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bucknell Bison | 52c | 366.23$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.79 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Bucknell Bison | 52c | 285.94$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.25 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Bucknell Bison | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Navy Midshipmen | 45c | 198.27$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.22 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked Bucknell Bison | 52c | 198.25$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.16 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Bucknell Bison | 52c | 190.63$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Bucknell Bison | 52c | 76.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 155 | 59.4%92 W · 63 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Navy Midshipmen | 47c | 39.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7e…b137backed Bucknell Bison | 52c | 38.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bucknell Bison | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Bucknell Bison | 54c | 26.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Navy Midshipmen (-15.5)this page
- Bucknell Bison vs. Navy MidshipmenNavy Midshipmen won
- Bucknell Bison vs. Navy Midshipmen: O/U 133.5Over won
- Spread: Navy Midshipmen (-16.5)Bucknell Bison won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.