Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Virginia Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a85f6a141b1064d2d7fbb262e1f32018f08106be1fef5b2ca9cffa29af42888
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virginia Cavaliersof Virginia Tech Hokies, Virginia Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,391 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 3c | 6,994$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.82 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 17c | 3,413$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.99 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x492d…2f04backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 15c | 1,927$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.62 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 14c | 1,065$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.66 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 7c | 732.05$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 3c | 698.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 14c | 696.6$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.92 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 15c | 599.37$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.41 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 15c | 451.43$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.7 | 244 | 32%78 W · 166 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 15c | 398.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.71 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 3c | 343.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ec…8533backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 4c | 335.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 16c | 319.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 4c | 319.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 258 | 29.5%76 W · 182 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d3…bd58backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 16c | 314.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 16c | 304.75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 14c | 297.36$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 15c | 273.54$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.03 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 7c | 240.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 6c | 202.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 14c | 199.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 16c | 199.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 8c | 191.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 13c | 189.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bea…c4b2backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 11c | 137.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 15c | 136.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4eedbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 9c | 123.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 85 | 18.8%16 W · 69 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe320…e0c5backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 15c | 93.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb32c…fe05backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 14c | 72.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…baf1backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 34c | 46.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Virginia Cavaliersthis page
- Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-11.5)Virginia Tech Hokies won
- Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 144.5Over won
- Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 145.5Over won
- Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 146.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.