Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 145.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81dc4f727b404e91080ed1a397b7b928e743c6de2524b7418b59b6983f89f834
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,092 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 49c | 8,194$3,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,987.19 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 50c | 6,338$3,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,156.63 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 51c | 3,988$2,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,946.2 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 2,062$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.02 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 49c | 818.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.36 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 514.45$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.54 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Under | 48c | 503.56$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.71 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 50c | 61.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked Under | 51c | 56.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Over | 52c | 56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Under | 48c | 55.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59c3…48e8backed Over | 49c | 40.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x959b…64edbacked Over | 54c | 40.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 50c | 39.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 52c | 37.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Under | 48c | 30.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 48c | 30.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Over | 48c | 30.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 49c | 25.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 145.5this page
- Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-11.5)Virginia Tech Hokies won
- Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Virginia CavaliersVirginia Cavaliers won
- Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 144.5Over won
- Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 146.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.