Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Maryland Terrapins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00754f573a588ca0bd5f79c00f8805ff662fa23ce1e9da416fb0892594424ef3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Illinois Fighting Illiniof Illinois Fighting Illini, Maryland Terrapins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,237 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84dc…008ebacked Maryland Terrapins | 16c | 5,887$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.77 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Maryland Terrapins | 7c | 4,178$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.23 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Maryland Terrapins | 10c | 2,662$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.08 | 258 | 29.5%76 W · 182 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Maryland Terrapins | 7c | 2,088$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.18 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Maryland Terrapins | 11c | 2,049$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.24 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Maryland Terrapins | 6c | 1,027$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.03 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked Maryland Terrapins | 15c | 659.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.55 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Maryland Terrapins | 17c | 597.82$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Maryland Terrapins | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Maryland Terrapins | 22c | 452.77$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Maryland Terrapins | 6c | 450.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Maryland Terrapins | 8c | 398.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Maryland Terrapins | 15c | 373.05$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.37 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Maryland Terrapins | 9c | 304.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Maryland Terrapins | 16c | 291.14$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.07 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Maryland Terrapins | 15c | 282.43$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Maryland Terrapins | 8c | 261.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…fe90backed Maryland Terrapins | 12c | 257.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Maryland Terrapins | 16c | 248.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bf…1428backed Maryland Terrapins | 7c | 222.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161b…e1fdbacked Maryland Terrapins | 9c | 221.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Maryland Terrapins | 8c | 212.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Maryland Terrapins | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5581…c029backed Maryland Terrapins | 8c | 199.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Maryland Terrapins | 8c | 199.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Maryland Terrapins | 15c | 184.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x917e…eed9backed Maryland Terrapins | 7c | 179.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Maryland Terrapins | 17c | 165.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9121…bd6cbacked Maryland Terrapins | 12c | 150.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Maryland Terrapins | 9c | 150$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Maryland Terrapins | 7c | 149.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 244 | 32%78 W · 166 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Maryland Terrapins | 7c | 149.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb32c…fe05backed Maryland Terrapins | 9c | 115.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…a813backed Maryland Terrapins | 13c | 104.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Maryland Terrapins | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Maryland Terrapins | 12c | 99.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Maryland Terrapins | 21c | 95.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Maryland Terrapins | 16c | 86.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xee4c…8572backed Maryland Terrapins | 21c | 79.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd1…1e86backed Maryland Terrapins | 20c | 50.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Maryland Terrapinsthis page
- Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 143.5Over won
- Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 144.5Over won
- Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 145.5Over won
- Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 146.5Over won
- Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-14.5)Maryland Terrapins won
- Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-15.5)Maryland Terrapins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.