Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 146.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf2f1f45969d8be2b33eff392a049e08e64a1f9dffac00dede74d73bd3019d8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,386 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 52c | 3,600$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,727.98 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 3,247$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.34 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 51c | 382.62$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.78 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 58c | 346.7$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.15 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 341.04$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.11 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 43c | 240.33$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.17 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Over | 40c | 175.36$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.45 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Under | 50c | 150.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.29 | 225 | 44.9%101 W · 124 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 55c | 119.33$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.63 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Over | 49c | 117.7$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.98 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 57c | 86.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 51c | 71.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 49c | 58.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Under | 52c | 50.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked Under | 53c | 39.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 48c | 38.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…733cbacked Under | 55c | 38.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Over | 45c | 32.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 45c | 32.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Over | 45c | 32.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 241 | 48.5%117 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Over | 47c | 31.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 56c | 31.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 48c | 29.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 44c | 27.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 40c | 25.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…2037backed Under | 63c | 22.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 59c | 19.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 146.5this page
- Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Maryland TerrapinsIllinois Fighting Illini won
- Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 143.5Over won
- Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 144.5Over won
- Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 145.5Over won
- Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-14.5)Maryland Terrapins won
- Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-15.5)Maryland Terrapins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.