Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Dayton Flyers vs. Richmond Spiders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8eebae4ded1f4b0dfae63a1d9c236132b70e51bf587074b0842746c683f308a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dayton Flyersof Dayton Flyers, Richmond Spiders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Dayton Flyers | 70c | 4,054$2,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.34 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Dayton Flyers | 66c | 2,284$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.59 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Richmond Spiders | 33c | 1,622$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.38 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Richmond Spiders | 32c | 1,620$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.11 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Richmond Spiders | 32c | 1,290$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.25 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Richmond Spiders | 34c | 1,161$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.87 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Dayton Flyers | 68c | 993.13$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.8 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Dayton Flyers | 67c | 967.76$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.36 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Richmond Spiders | 8c | 911.62$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.97 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Richmond Spiders | 28c | 877.57$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.31 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Dayton Flyers | 67c | 817.43$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.75 | 216 | 46.8%101 W · 115 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Richmond Spiders | 29c | 794.08$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.09 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…88febacked Richmond Spiders | 34c | 591.78$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.44 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Richmond Spiders | 22c | 499.32$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.74 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Dayton Flyers | 78c | 496.8$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Dayton Flyers | 78c | 383.65$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.4 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Dayton Flyers | 66c | 345$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.3 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Dayton Flyers | 80c | 321.61$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Richmond Spiders | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Richmond Spiders | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Richmond Spiders | 33c | 293.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.55 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Richmond Spiders | 33c | 277.83$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.69 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Richmond Spiders | 33c | 273.91$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.39 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Richmond Spiders | 38c | 261.82$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Richmond Spiders | 33c | 199.7$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.9 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Richmond Spiders | 31c | 171.18$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.24 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Richmond Spiders | 18c | 160.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Richmond Spiders | 10c | 159.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…f8b4backed Richmond Spiders | 33c | 147.37$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Richmond Spiders | 33c | 141.89$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Dayton Flyers | 68c | 138.45$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…132abacked Richmond Spiders | 29c | 129.06$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.43 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Richmond Spiders | 33c | 120.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Richmond Spiders | 33c | 118.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Richmond Spiders | 22c | 117.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Dayton Flyers | 66c | 112$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Dayton Flyers | 75c | 97.71$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…3841backed Richmond Spiders | 33c | 94.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Dayton Flyers | 72c | 91.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Richmond Spiders | 27c | 91.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Richmond Spiders | 32c | 81.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Richmond Spiders | 22c | 79.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Richmond Spiders | 33c | 75.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…4145backed Dayton Flyers | 67c | 74.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked Dayton Flyers | 68c | 73.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Richmond Spiders | 28c | 72.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Richmond Spiders | 34c | 70.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…04bbbacked Richmond Spiders | 29c | 68.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead8…ce1abacked Dayton Flyers | 63c | 63.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Richmond Spiders | 31c | 62.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Dayton Flyers | 68c | 58.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Richmond Spiders | 34c | 48.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Richmond Spiders | 53c | 45.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb32c…fe05backed Richmond Spiders | 33c | 44.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Richmond Spiders | 33c | 38.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Richmond Spiders | 31c | 37.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Richmond Spiders | 33c | 34.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Richmond Spiders | 32c | 32.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 225 | 44.9%101 W · 124 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c49…50e2backed Dayton Flyers | 68c | 26.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2dd6backed Dayton Flyers | 66c | 18.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Dayton Flyers | 63c | 16.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9c…da16backed Dayton Flyers | 66c | 15.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 150 | 66%99 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dayton Flyers vs. Richmond Spidersthis page
- Dayton Flyers vs. Richmond Spiders: O/U 146.5Under won
- Spread: Dayton Flyers (-5.5)Richmond Spiders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.