Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Dayton Flyers vs. Richmond Spiders: O/U 146.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb29823a3b5808d7344a34b751bf6cb07497b11c564b010407e3b79d2586efbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,139
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,139 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 55c | 4,205$2,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,317.34 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 44c | 1,801$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.48 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 45c | 826.58$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.99 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 46c | 687.37$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.12 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 52c | 144.76$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.74 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b23…cad2backed Under | 48c | 124.5$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.03 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 45c | 113.46$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 46c | 112.14$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.56 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 55c | 108.15$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.67 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 55c | 108.15$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.67 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 45c | 95$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.3 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Under | 45c | 86.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.44 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 48c | 80.39$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Under | 46c | 65.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 172 | 41.3%71 W · 101 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 44c | 55.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Under | 44c | 51.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 144 | 61.8%89 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 202 | 54.5%110 W · 92 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 44c | 49.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 54c | 42.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 47c | 41.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…733cbacked Over | 55c | 39.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 37.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 51c | 35.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 48c | 33.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Under | 44c | 27.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0b…e980backed Over | 49c | 25.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over | 55c | 19.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dayton Flyers vs. Richmond Spiders: O/U 146.5this page
- Dayton Flyers vs. Richmond SpidersDayton Flyers won
- Spread: Dayton Flyers (-5.5)Richmond Spiders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.