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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Stetson Hatters vs. Austin Peay Governors

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Austin Peay Governorsof Stetson Hatters, Austin Peay Governors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,696

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,696 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Stetson Hatters15c6,237$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.942,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Stetson Hatters14c3,800$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.9955532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Stetson Hatters12c3,708$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.9921636.1%78 W · 138 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Austin Peay Governors62c3,677$2,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.562,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Austin Peay Governors54c3,199$1,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,464.495,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Stetson Hatters13c2,714$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.7955840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Stetson Hatters11c2,444$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.7725829.5%76 W · 182 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Stetson Hatters14c1,886$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.482,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Stetson Hatters12c1,603$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.3489645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Stetson Hatters32c1,583$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.013,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Stetson Hatters39c1,253$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.522,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaec…968cbacked Stetson Hatters19c994.61$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.98425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-33.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Stetson Hatters34c967.72$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.7425246.4%117 W · 135 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3d…3ec1backed Stetson Hatters35c944.7$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.385925.4%15 W · 44 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-34.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe8e1…8276backed Stetson Hatters31c938.05$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.6215243.4%66 W · 86 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Austin Peay Governors53c834.93$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.854,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34f6…eab4backed Stetson Hatters27c723.6$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.612540%10 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d90…d3dbbacked Austin Peay Governors49c703.5$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.551816.7%3 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-48.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Stetson Hatters41c686.28$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.21,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Austin Peay Governors49c621.31$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.785650%28 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda22…6d2abacked Austin Peay Governors50c592.39$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.012722.2%6 W · 21 L-6.0wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-45.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x0e88…f3c9backed Stetson Hatters31c587.35$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.029729.9%29 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Stetson Hatters48c452.98$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.4193447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Stetson Hatters19c411.63$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Stetson Hatters36c384.95$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.5318548.6%90 W · 95 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x985f…7a5bbacked Austin Peay Governors72c381.91$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.939051.1%46 W · 44 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x08c1…7fbebacked Stetson Hatters52c381.03$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.1415240.1%61 W · 91 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Stetson Hatters7c380.87$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.782,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Stetson Hatters29c376.24$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.175,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x893d…c7d1backed Stetson Hatters25c370.73$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.39250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Stetson Hatters10c335.94$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5934343.4%149 W · 194 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Stetson Hatters31c311$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.921,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc131…10acbacked Austin Peay Governors74c307.49$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.55650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Stetson Hatters12c282.74$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.771,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Stetson Hatters18c277.77$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5082846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Austin Peay Governors66c263.34$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.713464.7%22 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Stetson Hatters18c255.24$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9530945.6%141 W · 168 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc066…8279backed Stetson Hatters10c232.11$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1297…5227backed Stetson Hatters24c227.28$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.241952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x36f0…2711backed Stetson Hatters19c219.8$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.186162.3%38 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Austin Peay Governors56c213.15$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1845351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Stetson Hatters36c205.86$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3912642.1%53 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Stetson Hatters17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Stetson Hatters12c199.95$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9927048.1%130 W · 140 L+12.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Stetson Hatters19c198.92$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.81,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Stetson Hatters15c194.64$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2329337.2%109 W · 184 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Stetson Hatters54c182.38$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1340252.7%212 W · 190 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8da1…339ebacked Stetson Hatters55c180.24$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.133342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Stetson Hatters18c169.12$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6943053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08aa…0126backed Stetson Hatters10c169$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-33.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Austin Peay Governors50c164.23$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.3124951.8%129 W · 120 L+19.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b54…d382backed Austin Peay Governors63c157.44$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.257655.3%42 W · 34 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd046…c496backed Stetson Hatters13c149.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9210034%34 W · 66 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Stetson Hatters25c144.76$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.861,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Stetson Hatters11c135.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.125239.3%99 W · 153 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x313d…6f98backed Austin Peay Governors76c133.03$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.676767.2%45 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46ff…6672backed Stetson Hatters15c132.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.911811.1%2 W · 16 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed Austin Peay Governors51c119.76$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.978342.2%35 W · 48 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x38d5…865bbacked Austin Peay Governors48c118.09$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.36850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+44.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4589…350dbacked Austin Peay Governors57c114.79$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5c3…9792backed Stetson Hatters36c113.27$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5727055.6%150 W · 120 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Stetson Hatters41c107.96$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4539742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed Stetson Hatters19c104.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8923331.3%73 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Stetson Hatters39c102.58$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3416255.6%90 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8932…eb14backed Stetson Hatters16c99.53$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.922630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed Austin Peay Governors76c99.36$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.853748.6%18 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+28.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa59b…d11ebacked Stetson Hatters50c97.6$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.83138.7%12 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick29cpaid+28.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Austin Peay Governors51c93.37$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7532246.6%150 W · 172 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c21…12bdbacked Stetson Hatters14c84.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.831735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe86…6763backed Austin Peay Governors59c83.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.06771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+38.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Stetson Hatters48c78.26$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7670349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Stetson Hatters17c76.62$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9420834.6%72 W · 136 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb4c…55b5backed Stetson Hatters35c68.87$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.82683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Austin Peay Governors52c68.79$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.733445.5%152 W · 182 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Austin Peay Governors68c64.9$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0394036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe56a…0edfbacked Austin Peay Governors66c61.54$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68c4…d7dfbacked Stetson Hatters18c55.56$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1017634.7%61 W · 115 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaafa…3471backed Stetson Hatters18c55.56$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1025230.6%77 W · 175 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb32c…fe05backed Stetson Hatters19c52.71$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0290%0 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Stetson Hatters47c52.41$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8414049.3%69 W · 71 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff73…35ccbacked Stetson Hatters43c48.19$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.685650%28 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa488…91c3backed Stetson Hatters26c47.96$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.363046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Stetson Hatters21c47.32$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1419522.1%43 W · 152 L-36.3wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-53.7%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed Stetson Hatters35c41.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.585042%21 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a1e…21a1backed Austin Peay Governors65c41.37$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.576566.2%43 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb6e…d903backed Stetson Hatters48c41.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.83633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-54.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x25ed…3e98backed Austin Peay Governors64c40.48$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6613650.7%69 W · 67 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7e0…a433backed Austin Peay Governors44c33.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9315246.7%71 W · 81 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1224…f401backed Austin Peay Governors49c31.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b05…47c0backed Stetson Hatters44c31.32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.78366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Austin Peay Governors66c29.76$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.125538.2%21 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Austin Peay Governors58c27.07$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3781528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf61f…c8b2backed Austin Peay Governors53c25.55$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.01425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-52.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29e5…3c3fbacked Austin Peay Governors54c24.79$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+51.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba05…9517backed Austin Peay Governors51c20.91$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Austin Peay Governors57c17.9$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6369350.4%349 W · 344 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5c4…d3c1backed Austin Peay Governors65c17.86$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Austin Peay Governors79c16.42$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.4760954.5%332 W · 277 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.