Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Stetson Hatters vs. Austin Peay Governors: O/U 150.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf97007a86aab7cb5bfb0862880e6bda79e2e022f86671c2a0d78588d8be277ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,203 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Over | 53c | 1,855$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.29 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 52c | 1,014$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.4 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 43c | 519.75$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.22 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 505.5$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.97 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 48c | 340.25$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.32 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 311$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.9 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 57c | 291.97$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Under | 49c | 291.43$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.05 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 50c | 246.27$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.95 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…e860backed Over | 44c | 227.35$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df9…3f14backed Over | 46c | 139.3$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 56c | 132.03$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.69 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 49c | 95.56$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 52c | 93.71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.64 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 88.23$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.59 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed Under | 49c | 77.78$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Under | 49c | 66.92$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 225 | 44.9%101 W · 124 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…750abacked Under | 46c | 59.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 57c | 49.15$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Over | 43c | 43.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 58c | 37.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f9…0975backed Over | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Under | 49c | 27.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…dc40backed Over | 58c | 25.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Under | 57c | 21.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcde9…fd96backed Over | 49c | 20.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9684…cebdbacked Under | 72c | 20.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 69cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stetson Hatters vs. Austin Peay Governors: O/U 150.5this page
- Spread: Austin Peay Governors (-10.5)Stetson Hatters won
- Spread: Austin Peay Governors (-11.5)Stetson Hatters won
- Spread: Austin Peay Governors (-9.5)Stetson Hatters won
- Stetson Hatters vs. Austin Peay GovernorsAustin Peay Governors won
- Stetson Hatters vs. Austin Peay Governors: O/U 151.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.