Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Austin Peay Governors (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00a73386b47cabfa2a339add65378b42de049d4b9348bb022a80d706c990cfa4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stetson Hattersof Austin Peay Governors, Stetson Hatters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,276 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d46…3215backed Austin Peay Governors | 57c | 982.62$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Stetson Hatters | 48c | 668.9$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.85 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Stetson Hatters | 43c | 624.89$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.33 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Stetson Hatters | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Austin Peay Governors | 47c | 420.53$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.65 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Austin Peay Governors | 49c | 382.35$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.54 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Austin Peay Governors | 57c | 260.9$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.71 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Stetson Hatters | 56c | 251.7$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.96 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Stetson Hatters | 60c | 182.04$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.55 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Austin Peay Governors | 57c | 173.93$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6de8backed Austin Peay Governors | 54c | 122.16$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.74 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stetson Hatters | 52c | 120.09$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.78 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Austin Peay Governors | 39c | 112.03$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Stetson Hatters | 52c | 109.62$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.05 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Stetson Hatters | 57c | 100.56$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 62 | 72.6%45 W · 17 L | +10.9wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Austin Peay Governors | 46c | 95.1$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Austin Peay Governors | 45c | 86.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.24 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Stetson Hatters | 55c | 84.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Stetson Hatters | 62c | 42.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Austin Peay Governors | 57c | 41.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 218 | 50.5%110 W · 108 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Austin Peay Governors | 48c | 36.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Austin Peay Governors | 55c | 36.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Austin Peay Governors | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Stetson Hatters | 60c | 34.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Stetson Hatters | 45c | 34.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 141 | 43.3%61 W · 80 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…a66cbacked Austin Peay Governors | 38c | 29.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Austin Peay Governors | 77c | 28.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Stetson Hatters | 56c | 23.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Stetson Hatters | 57c | 21.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Stetson Hatters | 51c | 20.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Stetson Hatters | 66c | 19.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Austin Peay Governors | 57c | 19.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Austin Peay Governors (-9.5)this page
- Spread: Austin Peay Governors (-10.5)Stetson Hatters won
- Spread: Austin Peay Governors (-11.5)Stetson Hatters won
- Stetson Hatters vs. Austin Peay GovernorsAustin Peay Governors won
- Stetson Hatters vs. Austin Peay Governors: O/U 150.5Under won
- Stetson Hatters vs. Austin Peay Governors: O/U 151.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.