Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 146.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x619fa13951fad01f3b55f7087fd23ab0a767d6887ee32d601361a5e34ca3442e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,382
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,382 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 54c | 2,363$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.66 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Under | 51c | 1,354$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.28 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 49c | 1,111$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.61 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Under | 50c | 1,065$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.64 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 601.37$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.52 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 50c | 594.75$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.38 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 51c | 586.82$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.24 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 51c | 293.29$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.69 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 228$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.7 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 51c | 194.36$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 50c | 148.69$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.34 | 218 | 50.5%110 W · 108 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 50c | 89.21$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.61 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Under | 50c | 86.64$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 51c | 80.29$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…4108backed Over | 51c | 38.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74fe…8243backed Over | 50c | 23.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…ab58backed Over | 52c | 22.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7e…b137backed Over | 50c | 22.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4662…1d65backed Under | 49c | 22.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 146.5this page
- North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Duke Blue DevilsDuke Blue Devils won
- North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 147.5Under won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-17.5)North Carolina Tar Heels won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-18.5)North Carolina Tar Heels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.