South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Aldosivi vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3441114cb77b73bd8eb1acb06abff6cbbd3201538a8e027f1e9a6304e569be6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,938
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,938 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 35c | 694.19$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.19 | 82 | 28%23 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 42c | 610.53$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.76 | 140 | 22.1%31 W · 109 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 40c | 512.07$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.51 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 73c | 450$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 50c | 229.6$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.72 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed No | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 67c | 199.98$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.99 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 18c | 145.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed No | 35c | 142.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 33c | 120.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed No | 67c | 114$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.38 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 64c | 112.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.86 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed No | 67c | 111$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.37 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed No | 20c | 99.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 79c | 93.74$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked No | 67c | 90$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 59c | 89.01$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 66c | 63.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.77 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed No | 67c | 61$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…ebfebacked Yes | 33c | 47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +88%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ff…db1dbacked Yes | 33c | 46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked Yes | 33c | 46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked Yes | 33c | 45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…afe6backed Yes | 33c | 42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…73c9backed Yes | 33c | 36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked Yes | 33c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed No | 67c | 32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 64c | 31.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…aeaabacked Yes | 36c | 31.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed No | 67c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Aldosivi vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-01-22?No won
- Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-01-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.