TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Adelaide International: Andrea Vavassori vs Gabriel Diallo

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vavassoriof Vavassori, Diallo
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$114,998
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$124,040

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,998 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4c81…fce3backed Vavassori76c30,555$23,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,349.261291.7%11 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick69cpaid+36.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Diallo20c8,808$1,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,796.38,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Diallo46c5,049$2,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,33328444.7%127 W · 157 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae90…f6c8backed Diallo49c4,095$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0006937.7%26 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Vavassori53c3,385$1,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,605.997,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Diallo46c3,118$1,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,422.7765558.9%386 W · 269 L-32.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Diallo45c2,731$1,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.9525428%71 W · 183 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Diallo46c2,316$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.2319134%65 W · 126 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f1a…cee8backed Diallo19c2,258$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4231315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-58.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Diallo48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Diallo50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005851.7%30 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Diallo41c1,958$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80044754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Diallo43c1,832$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.3525542%107 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Vavassori64c1,704$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.92,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ec…f7e3backed Diallo47c1,611$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+91.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Diallo45c1,440$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.24,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Vavassori57c1,403$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.698936%32 W · 57 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Diallo18c1,345$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.542,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Vavassori28c1,161$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.111,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Diallo60c1,056$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.212,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Diallo46c1,011$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.422,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae17…b10dbacked Vavassori58c1,009$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.971752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37cb…1952backed Diallo1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1040%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf99a…aeccbacked Vavassori74c984.09$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.09366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f67…da0ebacked Vavassori54c926.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.4837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Vavassori28c837.28$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.2230339.3%119 W · 184 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Diallo47c725.04$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.89833.7%33 W · 65 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Diallo45c666.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013844.2%61 W · 77 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8049…1e6cbacked Diallo50c638.99$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.53033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Diallo54c600$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32446649.8%232 W · 234 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Diallo38c583.99$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.341,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Diallo44c568.18$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25012313.8%17 W · 106 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Vavassori46c546.95$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.671,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Vavassori53c503.9$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.022,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83c8…26f0backed Diallo5c500$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2613816.7%23 W · 115 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+46%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Diallo45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2257357.5%42 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb196…02ccbacked Diallo43c491.56$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed Diallo30c452.21$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.6513834.1%47 W · 91 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-42.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Diallo46c430.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012627.8%35 W · 91 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x68c2…259dbacked Diallo48c400$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.062839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed Vavassori53c380.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.661136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Vavassori58c344.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8810161.4%62 W · 39 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Vavassori67c343.47$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.81,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Diallo49c308.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15022744.5%101 W · 126 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Diallo72c300$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2161,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Vavassori53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14121346.5%99 W · 114 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Vavassori50c295.16$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.4926535.5%94 W · 171 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Diallo52c288.48$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020643.2%89 W · 117 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Diallo37c282.07$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.116150.3%81 W · 80 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a63…b752backed Diallo46c268.92$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.164057.5%23 W · 17 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Diallo7c250$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.51085.6%6 W · 102 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-40.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Diallo41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Diallo37c243.29$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.3927627.2%75 W · 201 L-25.2wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-36.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Diallo71c239.75$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.2327944.1%123 W · 156 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c44…6ecebacked Diallo41c236.57$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-52.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8479…37f8backed Diallo46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-50.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x725f…cea7backed Vavassori46c210.93$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.37977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+36.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Diallo6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121368.1%11 W · 125 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Diallo34c197.69$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.871,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ca8…db1fbacked Diallo53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012344.7%55 W · 68 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x064a…9c2fbacked Diallo73c183.78$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.437664.5%49 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99fc…ec26backed Diallo72c180.73$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.7764540.2%259 W · 386 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x985d…e14fbacked Diallo54c180.41$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.814459.1%26 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0097…f101backed Vavassori56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5721843.1%94 W · 124 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x812e…04d0backed Vavassori57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-41.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Vavassori29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.4137339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a29…b807backed Vavassori55c165.85$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.631850%9 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dbc…d46fbacked Diallo16c164.68$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.681533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Diallo16c156.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256259.7%37 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea8d…e9d3backed Diallo46c153.12$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7028762.4%179 W · 108 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x02c7…4fcabacked Vavassori55c146.74$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.743767.6%25 W · 12 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+10.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca39…4ed7backed Diallo72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014060.7%85 W · 55 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Diallo72c138.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010862%67 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28b9…9719backed Diallo32c130.94$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.93046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe32c…db1bbacked Diallo21c125$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.012711.1%3 W · 24 L-6.4wins-0.24per pick35cpaid-77.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x1a16…de20backed Diallo40c124.85$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016856%94 W · 74 L-0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81a4…da1fbacked Vavassori56c122.3$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1813850.7%70 W · 68 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Diallo48c117.66$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4817432.2%56 W · 118 L-15.1wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Diallo14c114.82$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8258021.9%127 W · 453 L+2.5wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48dd…271dbacked Vavassori60c105.82$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Vavassori27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7325743.6%112 W · 145 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Diallo71c99.73$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3724846%114 W · 134 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc48…196bbacked Diallo56c88.18$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.112965.5%19 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Diallo39c87.06$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7925237.3%94 W · 158 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Vavassori66c83.43$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.34461.4%27 W · 17 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5ad8…43e2backed Diallo61c82.01$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018541.1%76 W · 109 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Diallo46c80$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.82,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe759…3648backed Vavassori59c76.78$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7815551.6%80 W · 75 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8640…0e7dbacked Vavassori56c76.65$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.611675%12 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Vavassori53c75.65$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6519129.8%57 W · 134 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46e7…c9e4backed Vavassori28c71.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.433312.1%4 W · 29 L-5.5wins-0.17per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9d35…8518backed Diallo46c70$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.21225%3 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-50.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ace…b219backed Vavassori29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9712463.7%79 W · 45 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Diallo45c66.49$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6924826.2%65 W · 183 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Vavassori54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5627539.6%109 W · 166 L+1.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Diallo72c55.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014456.3%81 W · 63 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Diallo71c52.82$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.523852.1%124 W · 114 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5778…86c0backed Diallo43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.56533.8%22 W · 43 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9ad…44febacked Vavassori28c49.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.995149%25 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1dc…1068backed Vavassori72c46.79$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.313351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.