Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x355dd12bbaf4f5d22d03128bc1df46611221df3ae452eb74a95428317f4df528
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rutgers Scarlet Knightsof Penn State Nittany Lions, Rutgers Scarlet Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,959 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 66c | 6,111$4,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080.39 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4d…8e7ebacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 34c | 5,867$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.94 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 36c | 4,559$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623.09 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41b6…d8debacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 35c | 1,578$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b2…f8d4backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 65c | 1,563$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 66c | 1,488$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.99 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 64c | 1,450$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.91 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 4c | 1,144$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 149 | 30.2%45 W · 104 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e7cbacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 36c | 1,124$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.65 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 74c | 1,014$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.17 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 28c | 799.98$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.99 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bea…c4b2backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 7c | 736.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 62c | 635.64$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 65c | 514.88$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.29 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 65c | 508.04$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.33 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…b9c8backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 65c | 499.99$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 41c | 427.49$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.49 | 140 | 27.1%38 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 32c | 399.91$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.97 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 66c | 370.1$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.83 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 66c | 368.3$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.22 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 24c | 317.07$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.41 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 33c | 295.22$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.42 | 244 | 32%78 W · 166 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0d…b02fbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 76c | 273.77$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab5…ff12backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 27c | 257.47$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.52 | 81 | 30.9%25 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 65c | 229.71$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.27 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 32c | 227.84$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.04 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…9372backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 38c | 201.6$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 35c | 199.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a0…4f95backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 35c | 198.41$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 65c | 189.09$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.54 | 258 | 29.5%76 W · 182 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc12c…b9fdbacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 36c | 170.83$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 7c | 169.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 64c | 149.98$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.31 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 73c | 149.34$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7721…e509backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 35c | 148.81$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d68…e59abacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 67c | 148.1$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7af0…e986backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 34c | 145.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfba…80ebbacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 35c | 141.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c06…3b44backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 10c | 132.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 73c | 129.47$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.05 | 252 | 46.4%117 W · 135 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 29c | 128.73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 66c | 125.01$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.33 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 66c | 119.72$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.34 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1f2abacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 67c | 111.07$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.65 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 36c | 101.46$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b79…50d0backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 35c | 99.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…5831backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 64c | 90.2$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 71c | 70.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 35c | 64.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 72c | 60.83$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 30c | 59.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 34c | 58.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c0…49bfbacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 30c | 55.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 64c | 50.55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 31c | 50.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 195 | 22.1%43 W · 152 L | -36.3wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…a7b8backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 67c | 49.61$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 34c | 49.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 66c | 49.61$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x759f…ed1bbacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 35c | 49.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 66c | 47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 66c | 37.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…152abacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 66c | 37.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 64c | 35.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 66c | 34.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcffd…7f24backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 67c | 31.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cd…5911backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 36c | 30.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…2ea6backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 67c | 29.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd3…bd7fbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 67c | 25.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 70cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…df3cbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 67c | 22.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 60c | 21.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 73c | 20.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d1…6759backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 65c | 19.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knightsthis page
- Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights: O/U 149.5Under won
- Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights: O/U 150.5Under won
- Spread: Rutgers Scarlet Knights (-5.5)Rutgers Scarlet Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.