Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Rutgers Scarlet Knights (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb05d4a1320b787af4d0b5f45ff982b7ac3537f05bf093a2ac033766e3b459097
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rutgers Scarlet Knightsof Rutgers Scarlet Knights, Penn State Nittany Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,694
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,694 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 51c | 5,882$2,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,908.6 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 50c | 1,685$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.2 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 48c | 1,588$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.25 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 52c | 1,477$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.05 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 48c | 1,073$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.76 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 52c | 536.86$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.38 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 48c | 335.02$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.66 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 51c | 142.24$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.54 | 225 | 44.9%101 W · 124 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 51c | 96.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 50c | 89.68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.25 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…6cc9backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 53c | 56.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8583…e3e3backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 52c | 45.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rutgers Scarlet Knights (-5.5)this page
- Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Rutgers Scarlet KnightsRutgers Scarlet Knights won
- Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights: O/U 149.5Under won
- Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights: O/U 150.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.