Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights: O/U 150.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6393e656c88dc7b0055d6cfabd56a08e3d3141ebe3ad767c8da743e4d456e9c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,120 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 7,794$3,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,752.14 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 53c | 6,495$3,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,054.25 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 5,933$2,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800.51 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Under | 51c | 5,687$2,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,793.59 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Under | 53c | 4,142$2,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,948.84 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 53c | 2,831$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.55 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Over | 47c | 1,759$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.51 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 47c | 820.41$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.59 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 54c | 653$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.75 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 47c | 618.56$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.72 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 532.23$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.83 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Over | 47c | 454.5$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.32 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 47c | 453.4$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.34 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 51c | 280$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.2 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 49c | 241.34$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.26 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked Over | 47c | 218.08$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 194.32$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.78 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8c…dfbebacked Under | 68c | 174.68$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 46c | 150.74$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.88 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Over | 38c | 135.28$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.79 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b0a5backed Over | 50c | 120.62$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.31 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Over | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 172 | 41.3%71 W · 101 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 49c | 76.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over | 49c | 65.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 47c | 62.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Under | 53c | 60.89$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 47c | 59.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…2037backed Over | 51c | 58.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 32c | 54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 195 | 22.1%43 W · 152 L | -36.3wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…7b98backed Under | 50c | 49.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 58c | 47.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca7f…3006backed Over | 47c | 43.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 49c | 42.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 54c | 39.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4125…23a9backed Over | 47c | 34.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Over | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Over | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 241 | 48.5%117 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfda1…454fbacked Over | 50c | 30.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29aa…e4eabacked Over | 50c | 30.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…4238backed Over | 49c | 30.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 55c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Under | 51c | 28.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 46c | 26.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Over | 50c | 20.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…ba10backed Over | 50c | 20.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e7…80d0backed Over | 50c | 20.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights: O/U 150.5this page
- Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Rutgers Scarlet KnightsRutgers Scarlet Knights won
- Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights: O/U 149.5Under won
- Spread: Rutgers Scarlet Knights (-5.5)Rutgers Scarlet Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.