Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Stan Wawrinka vs Taylor Fritz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18cf8a97b100eb6e4521786b667dea519b0cb617f851747331db2438545876bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fritzof Wawrinka, Fritz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $385,518
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $421,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $385,518 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wawrinka | 12c | 54,266$6,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,526.91 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Wawrinka | 9c | 20,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…7f58backed Fritz | 78c | 18,761$14,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,039.12 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Wawrinka | 19c | 16,539$3,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,073.86 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Wawrinka | 10c | 12,587$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.74 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wawrinka | 11c | 12,456$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.29 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Wawrinka | 9c | 10,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Wawrinka | 10c | 9,641$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Wawrinka | 9c | 7,997$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.73 | 1,634 | 50%817 W · 817 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x266b…8da2backed Wawrinka | 11c | 6,831$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Wawrinka | 20c | 6,338$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.71 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Fritz | 75c | 5,900$4,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.21 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e6…2f0fbacked Fritz | 74c | 5,399$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.41 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Wawrinka | 11c | 5,234$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.07 | 191 | 34%65 W · 126 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…e888backed Wawrinka | 19c | 5,179$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.24 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Wawrinka | 9c | 5,049$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.03 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed Wawrinka | 21c | 4,775$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.93 | 331 | 56.2%186 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Wawrinka | 8c | 4,770$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.3 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Fritz | 76c | 4,060$3,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.74 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Wawrinka | 26c | 3,999$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.41 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…dbc5backed Wawrinka | 15c | 3,595$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Wawrinka | 22c | 3,572$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.02 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Wawrinka | 0c | 3,467$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wawrinka | 9c | 3,255$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.95 | 2,304 | 51.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L | +10.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Fritz | 76c | 3,019$2,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.2 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Fritz | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Wawrinka | 10c | 3,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 227 | 37.4%85 W · 142 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Wawrinka | 10c | 2,900$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 248 | 44.8%111 W · 137 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8061…9eb5backed Fritz | 74c | 2,749$2,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.73 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1895…efd2backed Wawrinka | 15c | 2,620$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wawrinka | 15c | 2,612$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.92 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Wawrinka | 20c | 2,480$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wawrinka | 20c | 2,418$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.58 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3be6…05b1backed Wawrinka | 18c | 2,380$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Wawrinka | 28c | 2,143$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5067…a127backed Wawrinka | 28c | 1,787$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Wawrinka | 10c | 1,599$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.92 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -12%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Wawrinka | 14c | 1,435$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.04 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c44…752ebacked Wawrinka | 1c | 1,429$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Wawrinka | 10c | 1,400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8339…caa9backed Wawrinka | 10c | 1,200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Fritz | 71c | 1,200$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3701…8b4bbacked Wawrinka | 22c | 1,200$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Wawrinka | 17c | 1,151$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Wawrinka | 10c | 1,134$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.94 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Wawrinka | 16c | 1,034$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.77 | 261 | 31.4%82 W · 179 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…6133backed Fritz | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Wawrinka | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Wawrinka | 9c | 999.97$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 281 | 41.6%117 W · 164 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Wawrinka | 18c | 977.99$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.26 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2073…385bbacked Wawrinka | 23c | 966.53$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x867b…dbadbacked Wawrinka | 4c | 938.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0f…ae40backed Wawrinka | 3c | 848.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Wawrinka | 7c | 840.47$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Wawrinka | 14c | 815.5$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.75 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Wawrinka | 9c | 799.06$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.92 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Wawrinka | 10c | 750$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Wawrinka | 28c | 705.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 132 | 32.6%43 W · 89 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…d663backed Wawrinka | 22c | 700$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.22per pick | 43cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Wawrinka | 6c | 644.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,332 | 46.6%1,087 W · 1,245 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x621c…1192backed Wawrinka | 11c | 636.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 25cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeabd…8115backed Wawrinka | 19c | 618.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Wawrinka | 13c | 591.4$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.22 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…8b6cbacked Wawrinka | 12c | 571.33$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Wawrinka | 20c | 505$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 360 | 38.9%140 W · 220 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…280ebacked Wawrinka | 5c | 501.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…cc0abacked Wawrinka | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe225…6d19backed Wawrinka | 11c | 488.27$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.71 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…df76backed Wawrinka | 28c | 475$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Wawrinka | 22c | 462.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Wawrinka | 9c | 450$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Wawrinka | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 394 | 31%122 W · 272 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Wawrinka | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb094…bf7fbacked Wawrinka | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb405…c706backed Wawrinka | 10c | 399.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Wawrinka | 10c | 360$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…9d62backed Wawrinka | 10c | 340$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 352 | 48.6%171 W · 181 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Wawrinka | 12c | 333.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e78…52b5backed Wawrinka | 21c | 326.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Wawrinka | 10c | 325$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wawrinka | 9c | 324.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Fritz | 80c | 320$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe6…29f8backed Wawrinka | 10c | 306.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…3014backed Fritz | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb936…4f5bbacked Wawrinka | 11c | 285.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed Wawrinka | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf26b…f3b8backed Wawrinka | 21c | 236.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x737d…1f6bbacked Wawrinka | 10c | 226.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Wawrinka | 15c | 226.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -16.1wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Fritz | 71c | 224.98$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.71 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Fritz | 73c | 220.55$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.33 | 287 | 62.4%179 W · 108 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d1…40c3backed Wawrinka | 16c | 218.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Wawrinka | 10c | 217$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3c…243bbacked Wawrinka | 10c | 210$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Wawrinka | 10c | 203$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…4fedbacked Wawrinka | 16c | 202.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Wawrinka | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 748 | 61.9%463 W · 285 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…986abacked Wawrinka | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a4…fcf2backed Wawrinka | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Wawrinka | 14c | 200$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Men's: Stan Wawrinka vs Taylor Fritzthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Wawrinka vs FritzFritz won
- Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Wawrinka (+1.5)Fritz won
- Set Handicap: Fritz (-2.5) vs Wawrinka (+2.5)Wawrinka won
- Wawrinka vs. Fritz: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Wawrinka vs. Fritz: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.