Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x360f2d2e381dc0a154017be2b4357f8c61acd0c61003fb3e6445d5a76206d3a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,125
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,244
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,125 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60a2…00dcbacked No | 9c | 697.52$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.59 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 79c | 597$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.64 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4978…0169backed Yes | 76c | 420.22$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.81 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 13c | 407.86$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07c1…e23cbacked No | 6c | 400.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed No | 10c | 389.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.21 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed No | 8c | 361.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 430 | 50.2%216 W · 214 L | +21.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…9464backed No | 13c | 299.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b28…d021backed No | 4c | 297.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 287 | 18.5%53 W · 234 L | +15.9wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…224dbacked Yes | 75c | 269$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.01 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 39c | 268.01$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.25 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d6…b8e3backed Yes | 63c | 262.85$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.43 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 10c | 222.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 468 | 24.4%114 W · 354 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 23c | 207.68$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 847 | 59.4%503 W · 344 L | +41.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9469…6d18backed No | 30c | 199.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 959 | 42.4%407 W · 552 L | +84.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed9…c127backed No | 18c | 194.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 26c | 190.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.27 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 28c | 169.89$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.22 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 74c | 164$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 540 | 37.4%202 W · 338 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b52…cfd1backed No | 30c | 161.16$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4f…d890backed No | 26c | 156.72$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…9effbacked Yes | 79c | 140.24$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1a…365fbacked Yes | 73c | 136.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.74 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c7…352ebacked No | 30c | 131.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 175 | 32%56 W · 119 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 15c | 125$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…917cbacked Yes | 69c | 120.61$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.01 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc97…da82backed Yes | 63c | 118.46$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.46 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…9f88backed No | 16c | 117.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…73acbacked Yes | 56c | 108.43$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.32 | 1,022 | 30.6%313 W · 709 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b19…6b1cbacked No | 18c | 100.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x195e…5b32backed No | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91dc…2813backed Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 75c | 91$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…1d49backed No | 44c | 90.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…f495backed No | 23c | 87.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5490…c716backed Yes | 69c | 85.86$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc508…ec49backed No | 24c | 82.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…623dbacked Yes | 57c | 79.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.39 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…06b0backed Yes | 78c | 72.9$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 187 | 27.3%51 W · 136 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98ed…0711backed Yes | 67c | 70$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e6…2f0fbacked Yes | 74c | 67.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccbe…b19bbacked No | 18c | 67.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0f…2458backed No | 40c | 64.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eca…576bbacked No | 32c | 62.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -74%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…c49ebacked No | 41c | 61.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 1,110 | 65%722 W · 388 L | +38.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 79c | 59.71$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b07…e4c5backed Yes | 71c | 56.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85de…3717backed Yes | 69c | 54.3$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…34c6backed Yes | 77c | 51.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x902c…ef98backed Yes | 77c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…cf0cbacked Yes | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 35c | 48.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ee…cc59backed Yes | 79c | 48.56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6ca2backed No | 47c | 45.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed Yes | 77c | 44.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe03a…439fbacked No | 45c | 39.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 189 | 10.6%20 W · 169 L | -87.5wins | -0.46per pick | 57cpaid | -84%equal weight | 5-0.41 edge/pick |
| 0x0f22…df03backed Yes | 77c | 38.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd09a…a603backed Yes | 79c | 33.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04db…a9a4backed Yes | 63c | 32.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 75c | 32.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2a…22b9backed Yes | 77c | 32.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9349…0486backed Yes | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 55c | 31.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6d…1358backed Yes | 79c | 29.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0e…2808backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…3517backed Yes | 70c | 28.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3c…44aebacked Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c71…72dfbacked Yes | 62c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7342…b979backed No | 61c | 24.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x860a…98edbacked Yes | 78c | 24.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec26…c346backed Yes | 78c | 23.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…b7f7backed Yes | 76c | 23.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…d5bfbacked Yes | 70c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…a738backed Yes | 75c | 22.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8740…70f4backed Yes | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb905…1640backed Yes | 79c | 20.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…8accbacked Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a8…9bd6backed Yes | 74c | 19.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa850…8239backed Yes | 80c | 19.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fda…8b58backed Yes | 78c | 19.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0a…96eabacked Yes | 79c | 19.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 68cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x63cf…9e7cbacked Yes | 65c | 18.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…9322backed Yes | 62c | 16.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e4…7d32backed Yes | 62c | 16.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6247…d77dbacked Yes | 64c | 16.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…0ca9backed Yes | 74c | 13.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 16?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on January 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or higher on January 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C or below on January 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.