TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Boston College Eagles vs. Louisville Cardinals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Louisville Cardinalsof Boston College Eagles, Louisville Cardinals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,730
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,354

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,730 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Boston College Eagles5c4,571$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.092,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Boston College Eagles7c4,352$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.392,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Louisville Cardinals78c3,561$2,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.32321.7%5 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-40.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Boston College Eagles13c2,857$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.041,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4dc…0da7backed Boston College Eagles1c2,721$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1450%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Boston College Eagles20c2,423$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.092,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Boston College Eagles22c2,318$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025130.7%77 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Boston College Eagles9c2,214$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.1614925.5%38 W · 111 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Boston College Eagles1c2,047$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.343993.3%13 W · 386 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-89.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Boston College Eagles20c1,951$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.7546446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Boston College Eagles13c1,848$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.85626.5%4 W · 58 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Boston College Eagles6c1,692$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.641,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Boston College Eagles25c1,569$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.361,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Boston College Eagles23c1,209$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.3122050.5%111 W · 109 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked Boston College Eagles3c1,200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.611,22727.8%341 W · 886 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Boston College Eagles21c1,179$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.4338343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Boston College Eagles13c1,149$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.951,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e6…2f0fbacked Boston College Eagles9c1,117$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick27cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x330f…423ebacked Boston College Eagles20c1,092$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Louisville Cardinals77c956.84$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.0515861.4%97 W · 61 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Louisville Cardinals80c904.21$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.35534.5%19 W · 36 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-31.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Boston College Eagles26c886$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.671,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Boston College Eagles13c873.77$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.4473549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd16c…f14bbacked Boston College Eagles14c852.35$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe35…d34abacked Boston College Eagles25c795.6$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick25cpaid-72.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Boston College Eagles13c757.41$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.229412.8%12 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa1a…d9abbacked Boston College Eagles14c690.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100850%4 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+66.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Boston College Eagles13c597.04$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.631,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Boston College Eagles3c591$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9829012.1%35 W · 255 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…deeebacked Boston College Eagles19c509.01$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked Louisville Cardinals65c459.42$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.422070%14 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+26.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ab9…5b82backed Boston College Eagles22c450.23$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.33836.8%14 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Boston College Eagles6c400.47$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.021,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Louisville Cardinals73c343.19$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.1945351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26bb…dddfbacked Boston College Eagles16c278.28$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b96…f098backed Boston College Eagles6c277.36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.74621.7%10 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-36.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe096…43b7backed Boston College Eagles8c265.17$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72e2…1d2abacked Boston College Eagles9c217.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-31.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed Louisville Cardinals75c215.58$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.581353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Louisville Cardinals80c198.82$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.964,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x771f…bb31backed Boston College Eagles25c168.8$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9161…622ebacked Boston College Eagles18c165.37$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304522.2%10 W · 35 L+5.2wins+0.11per pick11cpaid+51.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ff2…b81fbacked Boston College Eagles20c158.29$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.43per pick40cpaid+194.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe1f5…8be3backed Louisville Cardinals65c152.3$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1512733.9%43 W · 84 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecd3…4255backed Boston College Eagles33c152.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4225…7fafbacked Boston College Eagles23c121.11$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.761127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+118.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Louisville Cardinals77c120.74$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.432343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x23d4…5607backed Boston College Eagles22c115.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.018737.9%33 W · 54 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Boston College Eagles22c112.6$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3130746.3%142 W · 165 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88d2…f50abacked Boston College Eagles10c108.78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59cf…71dabacked Boston College Eagles11c106.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.161822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid+45.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Boston College Eagles20c101.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020024%48 W · 152 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ab3…5fa4backed Boston College Eagles13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.52913.8%4 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-41.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Boston College Eagles20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Louisville Cardinals79c79.8$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7245644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaa7…2e3cbacked Boston College Eagles27c78.9$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212763%17 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4243…35d1backed Boston College Eagles27c78.35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.341338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x955b…49a1backed Boston College Eagles21c72.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb670…4285backed Boston College Eagles28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+52.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8ec…6bcbbacked Boston College Eagles16c70.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf6…129dbacked Louisville Cardinals72c69.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2512153.7%65 W · 56 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78b4…80e9backed Boston College Eagles22c60.74$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.37250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-23.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4595…14ebbacked Louisville Cardinals78c30.03$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.67771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick73cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb5f…4884backed Louisville Cardinals74c19.54$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.134360.5%26 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.