Tennis · resolved market

Australian Open Women's: Anna Kalinskaya vs Iga Swiatek

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca76d3bbe30f9f03439a66bd9f8c021baa92485daf91be20948d6cf3c23643c8

Rebuilt 32 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Swiatekof Kalinskaya, Swiatek
Resolved: Jan 24, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $278,290
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $331,116

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $278,290 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Kalinskaya	2c	31,311$569 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$569.4	8,241	45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L	+166.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9e6…2f0fbacked Kalinskaya	9c	25,666$2,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,260	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Kalinskaya	13c	25,622$3,447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,446.84	2,746	30.8%846 W · 1,900 L	-67.1wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Kalinskaya	1c	8,098$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.24	2,331	7.9%183 W · 2,148 L	-56.9wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Kalinskaya	22c	7,330$1,613 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,612.6	104	43.3%45 W · 59 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Kalinskaya	16c	6,482$1,011 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,011.15	2,426	47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed Kalinskaya	18c	4,300$774 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$774.22	52	28.8%15 W · 37 L	-5.4wins	-0.10per pick	39cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Kalinskaya	6c	4,179$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.25	190	23.2%44 W · 146 L	-10.8wins	-0.06per pick	29cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadb4…3214backed Kalinskaya	15c	3,500$529 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$528.69	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Swiatek	77c	3,392$2,614 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$777.71	191	34%65 W · 126 L	+6.4wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked Swiatek	79c	2,857$2,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$607.21	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Kalinskaya	20c	2,195$437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$436.55	2,489	45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L	-27.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Kalinskaya	18c	2,189$402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$402.09	1,090	35.9%391 W · 699 L	+16.2wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5067…a127backed Swiatek	72c	2,074$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$574.46	107	56.1%60 W · 47 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73d4…dbd6backed Kalinskaya	35c	2,005$707 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$706.8	332	56%186 W · 146 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kalinskaya	16c	1,592$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.46	7,018	43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L	+124.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Kalinskaya	18c	1,400$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252	441	25.4%112 W · 329 L	-11.3wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Kalinskaya	14c	1,312$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.76	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.31per pick	48cpaid	-74.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Kalinskaya	11c	1,301$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.18	2,068	34.9%721 W · 1,347 L	-44.2wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Kalinskaya	21c	1,275$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.37	289	33.2%96 W · 193 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Swiatek	79c	1,258$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258.3	369	68%251 W · 118 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	68cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e78…52b5backed Kalinskaya	9c	1,090$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	93	48.4%45 W · 48 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd355…e402backed Kalinskaya	17c	1,059$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185	160	38.1%61 W · 99 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e14…7d13backed Swiatek	76c	1,015$774 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$241.35	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Kalinskaya	22c	972.79$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.91	632	47.6%301 W · 331 L	-15.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc0c…218abacked Kalinskaya	31c	960.32$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.3	541	38.1%206 W · 335 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Kalinskaya	22c	909.09$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	537	52.3%281 W · 256 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Kalinskaya	20c	882.51$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.47	1,655	50.1%829 W · 826 L	+30.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Kalinskaya	26c	773$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.13	1,008	46%464 W · 544 L	-19.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Kalinskaya	22c	772$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.84	6,512	54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L	+289.8wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+26.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Kalinskaya	29c	760$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.88	576	45.5%262 W · 314 L	+4.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b5f…1ae6backed Swiatek	71c	708.43$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.43	138	26.1%36 W · 102 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Swiatek	78c	678.65$529 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.3	1,683	50.6%851 W · 832 L	+14.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Kalinskaya	15c	666.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	383	48%184 W · 199 L	+7.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Swiatek	79c	658.23$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.23	375	44.3%166 W · 209 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Kalinskaya	19c	644.41$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.44	7,753	47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L	+39.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd90f…7b32backed Swiatek	80c	615$492 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123	30	50%15 W · 15 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x23ca…9ae6backed Kalinskaya	30c	579.99$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.42	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Kalinskaya	20c	539.99$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	97	42.3%41 W · 56 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bc5…a45bbacked Swiatek	75c	525.39$391 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.95	107	57.9%62 W · 45 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Kalinskaya	19c	524.25$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	287	26.8%77 W · 210 L	-14.4wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0306…dcf6backed Swiatek	80c	500$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	146	63%92 W · 54 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3be6…05b1backed Kalinskaya	32c	442.5$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.6	99	55.6%55 W · 44 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8e1…86b5backed Kalinskaya	4c	400$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	46	23.9%11 W · 35 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Kalinskaya	20c	357.03$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.96	2,343	51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L	+95.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x182f…87d2backed Swiatek	80c	324$259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.8	53	69.8%37 W · 16 L	+6.3wins	+0.12per pick	58cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Kalinskaya	16c	320$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	269	21.2%57 W · 212 L	-10.2wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc391…6cc8backed Kalinskaya	20c	315$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	51	49%25 W · 26 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18d4…2b4abacked Swiatek	80c	300$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-68.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44f8…2d91backed Swiatek	73c	273.88$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.88	63	36.5%23 W · 40 L	-4.1wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Swiatek	78c	270$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.42	704	65.2%459 W · 245 L	+29.1wins	+0.04per pick	61cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae4d…254ebacked Kalinskaya	26c	270$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.48	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Swiatek	79c	252.69$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.69	1,056	55.4%585 W · 471 L	-22.8wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8d1…40c3backed Kalinskaya	15c	245.98$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.21	33	12.1%4 W · 29 L	-6.1wins	-0.18per pick	31cpaid	-80.9%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Kalinskaya	13c	245.33$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.65	3,072	44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L	-30.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-23%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Kalinskaya	13c	214.29$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.86	65	50.8%33 W · 32 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f86…404ebacked Kalinskaya	11c	213.06$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.31	111	22.5%25 W · 86 L	-16.1wins	-0.15per pick	37cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Kalinskaya	20c	200$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	421	41.8%176 W · 245 L	-12.2wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a09…76e9backed Kalinskaya	20c	200$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-2.5wins	-0.14per pick	26cpaid	-61.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Kalinskaya	6c	200$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	459	9.6%44 W · 415 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9359…6aacbacked Swiatek	78c	200$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	157	51.6%81 W · 76 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-14%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1793…4ebbbacked Swiatek	80c	188.31$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.31	940	60.6%570 W · 370 L	+11.3wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ab…f5c1backed Kalinskaya	28c	178.46$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.97	219	49.3%108 W · 111 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Kalinskaya	8c	175$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.13	93	4.3%4 W · 89 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-21%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe16c…9d62backed Kalinskaya	31c	161.29$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	352	48.6%171 W · 181 L	+4.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1b9…d795backed Swiatek	79c	155.78$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.71	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-2.4wins	-0.15per pick	65cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Kalinskaya	22c	150$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	518	49.4%256 W · 262 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Kalinskaya	10c	150$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	97	44.3%43 W · 54 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Kalinskaya	21c	143.5$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.68	1,245	33.9%422 W · 823 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1f26backed Swiatek	78c	143.18$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.18	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-67.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa82a…a759backed Kalinskaya	18c	132.8$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.9	339	55.2%187 W · 152 L	+18.2wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Swiatek	79c	126.58$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.58	733	50.9%373 W · 360 L	-10.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c9c…c3b3backed Swiatek	79c	126.58$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.58	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x363b…fb76backed Swiatek	79c	126.58$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.58	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf3…a5cebacked Swiatek	80c	125$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	12	91.7%11 W · 1 L	+2.0wins	+0.17per pick	75cpaid	+23%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7fc6…797fbacked Swiatek	80c	125$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	63cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Kalinskaya	20c	125$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	420	46.9%197 W · 223 L	-8.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe252…5f5abacked Kalinskaya	21c	100$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Kalinskaya	28c	100$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.98	52	32.7%17 W · 35 L	-6.3wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa5bb…7466backed Swiatek	80c	100$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Kalinskaya	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-38%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6387…9d9bbacked Kalinskaya	28c	100$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.3	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Swiatek	79c	99.99$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	95	67.4%64 W · 31 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Kalinskaya	21c	95$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.95	407	44%179 W · 228 L	-14.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Kalinskaya	20c	94$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.8	602	40.5%244 W · 358 L	-12.2wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4712…5bd6backed Swiatek	79c	86.24$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.11	144	75%108 W · 36 L	+6.2wins	+0.04per pick	71cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a62…57cabacked Swiatek	70c	85.71$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.71	35	40%14 W · 21 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Swiatek	77c	84$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.46	520	37.7%196 W · 324 L	-30.8wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x911b…872dbacked Swiatek	80c	80.75$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.15	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.28per pick	72cpaid	+40.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dd8…0b62backed Kalinskaya	33c	76.5$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-2.0wins	-0.11per pick	56cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Kalinskaya	19c	75$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.25	54	25.9%14 W · 40 L	-4.0wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Kalinskaya	27c	74.07$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	62	50%31 W · 31 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbfe…5247backed Kalinskaya	28c	70.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Kalinskaya	19c	70$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.3	182	41.8%76 W · 106 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb855…90b2backed Swiatek	79c	64.21$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.48	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	70cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c95…80e4backed Swiatek	79c	63.28$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.29	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	66cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9376…d77cbacked Swiatek	80c	62.5$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.5	42	71.4%30 W · 12 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	67cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Kalinskaya	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.6wins	+0.20per pick	55cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Kalinskaya	24c	58.34$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.8	314	34.4%108 W · 206 L	-25.2wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Swiatek	79c	53.13$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.12	656	52.1%342 W · 314 L	+7.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Australian Open Women's: Anna Kalinskaya vs Iga Swiatekthis page
Kalinskaya vs. Swiatek: Match O/U 21.5Under won
Kalinskaya vs. Swiatek: Match O/U 22.5Under won
Kalinskaya vs. Swiatek: Match O/U 23.5Under won
Kalinskaya vs. Swiatek: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
Kalinskaya vs. Swiatek: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Set 1 Winner: Kalinskaya vs SwiatekSwiatek won
Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Kalinskaya (+1.5)Kalinskaya won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Australian Open Women's: Anna Kalinskaya vs Iga Swiatek

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event