Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Benjamin Bonzi vs Cameron Norrie
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe3b3173bcae503af83cb00409a4d2a5e01eb8bf6a390ac1eb3b238dabc1d086
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Norrieof Bonzi, Norrie
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $297,030
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $333,306
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $297,030 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Norrie | 75c | 38,050$28,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,512.5 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Bonzi | 25c | 37,841$9,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,460.26 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9371…3aecbacked Bonzi | 0c | 35,351$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.63 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…ca34backed Norrie | 75c | 15,139$11,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,812.5 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e6…2f0fbacked Bonzi | 12c | 13,797$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Norrie | 40c | 9,188$3,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,517.18 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…079fbacked Norrie | 58c | 8,672$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,671.58 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bonzi | 61c | 7,921$4,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,857.52 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Norrie | 66c | 7,792$5,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,666.61 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bonzi | 42c | 7,609$3,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,194.73 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bonzi | 25c | 6,903$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.25 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bonzi | 23c | 6,104$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.84 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7a…7625backed Norrie | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,349.99 | 260 | 45.4%118 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Norrie | 74c | 4,733$3,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.33 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…097ebacked Norrie | 42c | 4,390$1,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560.83 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb101…5024backed Norrie | 75c | 4,115$3,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Norrie | 59c | 4,071$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.86 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bonzi | 25c | 4,059$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.79 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Norrie | 40c | 3,500$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,088.33 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Norrie | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Bonzi | 19c | 3,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.54 | 111 | 23.4%26 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Bonzi | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Norrie | 78c | 2,871$2,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.33 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Bonzi | 26c | 2,844$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.44 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bonzi | 47c | 2,512$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.69 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Bonzi | 45c | 2,450$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Bonzi | 38c | 2,439$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.37 | 191 | 34%65 W · 126 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe8…3549backed Norrie | 74c | 2,268$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.67 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Bonzi | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.99 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Bonzi | 26c | 1,600$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Bonzi | 64c | 1,569$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Bonzi | 24c | 1,560$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.79 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde69…e82ebacked Norrie | 55c | 1,515$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.66 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Bonzi | 23c | 1,505$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.86 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Bonzi | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…0002backed Bonzi | 26c | 1,500$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Bonzi | 20c | 1,396$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.76 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…c514backed Bonzi | 28c | 1,371$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.39 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Bonzi | 26c | 1,285$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.18 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Norrie | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Bonzi | 7c | 1,249$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.41 | 108 | 15.7%17 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +248.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9da8…e5afbacked Norrie | 37c | 1,238$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.14 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Bonzi | 33c | 1,181$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.12 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Bonzi | 2c | 1,136$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Bonzi | 13c | 1,127$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.3 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Norrie | 65c | 1,106$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.89 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Bonzi | 44c | 1,059$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.92 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Bonzi | 40c | 1,050$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.17 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Norrie | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Norrie | 53c | 999.98$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.99 | 600 | 53.8%323 W · 277 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Bonzi | 55c | 996.38$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.82 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Bonzi | 26c | 931.74$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.58 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…512bbacked Norrie | 55c | 900$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…69eebacked Norrie | 71c | 849.66$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.11 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Norrie | 74c | 805.41$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.41 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Bonzi | 25c | 704.18$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.05 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…f5ffbacked Norrie | 56c | 700$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Norrie | 73c | 685.6$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.6 | 146 | 63%92 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8f…8ed0backed Bonzi | 28c | 647.06$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb8…5466backed Norrie | 56c | 603.57$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.57 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Bonzi | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 243 | 40.3%98 W · 145 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Bonzi | 18c | 558.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 27.8%35 W · 91 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bonzi | 38c | 523.44$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.93 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf74d…9930backed Bonzi | 49c | 510.82$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Bonzi | 29c | 507.55$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.19 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Bonzi | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…200ebacked Norrie | 80c | 496.05$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.03 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e07…6a8ebacked Norrie | 61c | 489.35$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.35 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Norrie | 72c | 486$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.08 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Norrie | 61c | 472.72$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.36 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Norrie | 77c | 462.73$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.84 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Bonzi | 27c | 446.11$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.49 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Bonzi | 32c | 423.56$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.54 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bonzi | 36c | 421.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.01 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Bonzi | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Norrie | 57c | 351.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.05 | 903 | 35.8%323 W · 580 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Bonzi | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Bonzi | 7c | 299.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Bonzi | 47c | 297.94$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.03 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Bonzi | 45c | 297.78$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Bonzi | 17c | 294.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 394 | 31%122 W · 272 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Norrie | 66c | 293.8$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.8 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Bonzi | 50c | 288$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.8 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc494…543cbacked Norrie | 67c | 269.87$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.8 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Bonzi | 17c | 266.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 283 | 22.3%63 W · 220 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Bonzi | 24c | 263.62$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.27 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae59…c97fbacked Bonzi | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfa…3d92backed Bonzi | 13c | 254.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Bonzi | 32c | 250.44$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.23 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd29b…b518backed Norrie | 35c | 248.24$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.36 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Norrie | 47c | 228.94$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.31 | 228 | 40.4%92 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Bonzi | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 78 | 3.8%3 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…fa40backed Bonzi | 41c | 194.37$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.36 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Bonzi | 42c | 191.05$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.78 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x935b…a5cebacked Norrie | 61c | 190.34$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.23 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3d…b59dbacked Norrie | 74c | 190$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5586…e117backed Bonzi | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88d5…4af2backed Norrie | 73c | 175.48$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.18 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Norrie | 75c | 167.57$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed Norrie | 36c | 161.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.38 | 182 | 47.3%86 W · 96 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Men's: Benjamin Bonzi vs Cameron Norriethis page
- Bonzi vs. Norrie: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Bonzi vs. Norrie: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Bonzi vs. Norrie: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Set Handicap: Norrie (-1.5) vs Bonzi (+1.5)Bonzi won
- Set Handicap: Norrie (-2.5) vs Bonzi (+2.5)Bonzi won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.