TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

San Francisco Dons vs. Santa Clara Broncos

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Santa Clara Broncosof San Francisco Dons, Santa Clara Broncos
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$99,262
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,524

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,262 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Santa Clara Broncos77c18,453$14,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,255.215,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed San Francisco Dons10c16,588$1,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,720.612,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked San Francisco Dons21c7,934$1,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,644.3339742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked San Francisco Dons24c7,465$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,759.9125246.4%117 W · 135 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed San Francisco Dons17c5,215$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.025,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd95c…f1d7backed Santa Clara Broncos80c5,137$4,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.361172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+27.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Santa Clara Broncos78c5,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1006758.2%39 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Francisco Dons16c3,777$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.261,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x874f…a13dbacked San Francisco Dons24c3,638$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.98520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-53.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed San Francisco Dons20c2,460$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.633,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Santa Clara Broncos75c1,767$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.821,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9e6…2f0fbacked Santa Clara Broncos74c1,675$1,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.9944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick27cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5205…da18backed San Francisco Dons6c1,651$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked San Francisco Dons23c1,622$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.421346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+31.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked San Francisco Dons1c1,260$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113993.3%13 W · 386 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-89.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeea6…135fbacked San Francisco Dons24c838.1$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Santa Clara Broncos79c736.18$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.5299848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14b9…b6a9backed San Francisco Dons21c710.66$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505619.6%11 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed San Francisco Dons13c708.77$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.610437.5%39 W · 65 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked San Francisco Dons11c700.02$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.141,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed San Francisco Dons19c665$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.662,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Santa Clara Broncos78c639.95$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.913,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Santa Clara Broncos79c625$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.2574152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked San Francisco Dons22c582.28$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.6343450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c03…811ebacked San Francisco Dons13c547.44$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722740.7%11 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked San Francisco Dons30c536.29$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.636535.9%131 W · 234 L+1.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8a1…2974backed San Francisco Dons18c534.43$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.45250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde7d…499ebacked San Francisco Dons20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004122%9 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed San Francisco Dons15c485.78$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.863,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed San Francisco Dons18c444$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.781,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65d4…4e71backed Santa Clara Broncos69c440.58$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.585966.1%39 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed San Francisco Dons12c403.85$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023941.4%99 W · 140 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Santa Clara Broncos69c403.12$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.994036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed San Francisco Dons25c392.96$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3466831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd682…1ae2backed San Francisco Dons14c364.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50267.7%2 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick21cpaid-79.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed San Francisco Dons20c360$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.977844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed San Francisco Dons22c350.77$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.178356.6%47 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd06b…d7a8backed San Francisco Dons30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked San Francisco Dons18c302$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.361,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed San Francisco Dons16c299.52$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4218844.7%84 W · 104 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked San Francisco Dons9c287.12$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.157335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked San Francisco Dons19c264.73$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.361,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Santa Clara Broncos78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4125544.3%113 W · 142 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16bc…5325backed San Francisco Dons9c253.64$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd64…bdbbbacked San Francisco Dons24c250.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa32…bd9abacked Santa Clara Broncos78c250$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fc5…d36ebacked San Francisco Dons22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010043%43 W · 57 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x66da…53b0backed San Francisco Dons8c190.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb75d…9d01backed San Francisco Dons31c186.19$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf37c…3c74backed San Francisco Dons40c175.58$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7021830.7%67 W · 151 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9de5…e8f5backed Santa Clara Broncos62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.298362.7%52 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed San Francisco Dons10c154.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.832,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13c9…5e53backed San Francisco Dons26c152.1$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9811136%40 W · 71 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd765…f7c0backed San Francisco Dons22c150.3$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb43c…1caebacked San Francisco Dons14c143.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-33.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5c8…a78ebacked San Francisco Dons28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Santa Clara Broncos78c138.69$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5113456.7%76 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b84…de18backed San Francisco Dons23c128.64$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Santa Clara Broncos67c120$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.625325.3%64 W · 189 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked San Francisco Dons13c115.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517661.4%108 W · 68 L+17.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1c56…da87backed Santa Clara Broncos80c114.51$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Santa Clara Broncos79c105.25$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4336942.3%156 W · 213 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeec…a84abacked San Francisco Dons20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.695740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked San Francisco Dons22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+28.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a90…8218backed Santa Clara Broncos80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked San Francisco Dons20c99.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.522,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea8d…e9d3backed Santa Clara Broncos76c99.41$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.36352.4%33 W · 30 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad13…d3abbacked San Francisco Dons16c93.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520234.2%69 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed San Francisco Dons19c87.77$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6815947.2%75 W · 84 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed San Francisco Dons34c87.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6453646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Santa Clara Broncos66c84$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.561,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd485…871fbacked San Francisco Dons19c83.03$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Santa Clara Broncos80c75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1522552.9%119 W · 106 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed San Francisco Dons18c73.16$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1758345.5%265 W · 318 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x021f…5d44backed San Francisco Dons22c72.41$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe343…5c31backed San Francisco Dons17c70$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8260%0 W · 26 L-4.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x79f1…178abacked San Francisco Dons25c69.13$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.253562.9%22 W · 13 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0784…be77backed San Francisco Dons20c54.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa855…3a4ebacked Santa Clara Broncos73c54.85$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed San Francisco Dons22c51.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.449151.6%47 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fb8…85b9backed Santa Clara Broncos78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6121…ecb8backed San Francisco Dons33c44.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x862d…2632backed San Francisco Dons23c43.48$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Santa Clara Broncos75c40.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0531666.1%209 W · 107 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a8a…cb72backed Santa Clara Broncos76c39.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.472100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3457…837ebacked Santa Clara Broncos80c37.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6894…59d8backed Santa Clara Broncos78c29.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.62835.7%10 W · 18 L-4.7wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-36.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6e25…db26backed Santa Clara Broncos75c27.88$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.972850%14 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30e1…0badbacked Santa Clara Broncos78c25.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.681580%12 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick75cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc757…f18cbacked Santa Clara Broncos79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.321546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.19per pick66cpaid-38.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0af2…3b47backed Santa Clara Broncos69c23.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.56650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Santa Clara Broncos69c23.45$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.368254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca1…210ebacked Santa Clara Broncos73c20.45$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…c054backed Santa Clara Broncos74c15.39$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419057.4%109 W · 81 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x640f…4cc0backed Santa Clara Broncos75c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.752875%21 W · 7 L+6.7wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+54.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.