TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Texas Longhorns vs. Oklahoma Sooners

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Texas Longhornsof Texas Longhorns, Oklahoma Sooners
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$76,095
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,571

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,095 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb78…5206backed Oklahoma Sooners22c19,727$4,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3192737%10 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd95c…f1d7backed Oklahoma Sooners75c19,359$14,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,519.031172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+27.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Texas Longhorns72c7,089$5,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,009.751,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Texas Longhorns80c6,955$5,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3912,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Texas Longhorns25c6,720$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,04046446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x309f…9282backed Oklahoma Sooners74c6,698$4,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,957.511662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Texas Longhorns52c6,359$3,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,07574051.5%381 W · 359 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Texas Longhorns54c6,063$3,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,810.155,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Oklahoma Sooners48c5,799$2,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,805.8412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Texas Longhorns45c4,599$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,529.791,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Texas Longhorns25c3,447$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,585.392,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Texas Longhorns27c2,628$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,920.861,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f99…c209backed Texas Longhorns60c2,613$1,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.96540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Oklahoma Sooners48c2,121$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.692,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Texas Longhorns30c1,337$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.191,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Texas Longhorns39c1,305$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.745,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Texas Longhorns25c964.44$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.334,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Texas Longhorns51c807.84$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.8418650%93 W · 93 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Oklahoma Sooners67c505.46$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.033,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Oklahoma Sooners48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24081453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Texas Longhorns51c490.39$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.2940755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Oklahoma Sooners64c470.73$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30094036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Texas Longhorns31c433.98$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.017530.7%23 W · 52 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Texas Longhorns27c420$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.881,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Texas Longhorns26c400$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2961,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Oklahoma Sooners49c392.71$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.438845.5%40 W · 48 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Oklahoma Sooners20c378.94$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.831,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Oklahoma Sooners62c307.56$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.655840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00e0…8a94backed Texas Longhorns37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.2723028.3%65 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Texas Longhorns50c232$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11674649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eee…9b2bbacked Texas Longhorns54c222.22$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.225543.6%24 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Texas Longhorns54c222.22$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.2245351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Oklahoma Sooners68c202.56$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.353,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91b8…51cfbacked Texas Longhorns15c200$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1701216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick10cpaid+46.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Texas Longhorns63c193.78$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.861,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4266…a06dbacked Texas Longhorns15c177.16$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.59825%2 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick11cpaid+144.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dc0…099dbacked Texas Longhorns55c170.91$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.914445.5%20 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Texas Longhorns49c166.96$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1522645.6%103 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1f7…c4e5backed Oklahoma Sooners51c165$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1513343.6%58 W · 75 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Texas Longhorns55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.4619641.8%82 W · 114 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Oklahoma Sooners11c116$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.761,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Oklahoma Sooners45c114.79$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.311,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ef0…7adebacked Oklahoma Sooners47c105.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507361.6%45 W · 28 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d2e…78b1backed Oklahoma Sooners46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461546.7%7 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Texas Longhorns55c95.74$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.071,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Oklahoma Sooners70c80.29$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.236942.3%156 W · 213 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Oklahoma Sooners48c77$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.968939.3%35 W · 54 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Texas Longhorns67c75.28$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7599848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Oklahoma Sooners40c71.21$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7766831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Texas Longhorns59c67.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7353646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Texas Longhorns54c64.81$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8113050%65 W · 65 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f9b…50e0backed Texas Longhorns53c55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51dd…c727backed Texas Longhorns41c54.58$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.092642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Texas Longhorns47c45$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7338345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Oklahoma Sooners45c40.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.441,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Texas Longhorns30c39.26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.332,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x926c…a86bbacked Texas Longhorns50c38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192850%14 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Oklahoma Sooners58c32.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0193447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe09c…f300backed Oklahoma Sooners52c30.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.762948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Oklahoma Sooners39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.764658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Texas Longhorns54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.852353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83fb…e89bbacked Texas Longhorns50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1516952.7%89 W · 80 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Oklahoma Sooners62c27.79$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1425239.3%99 W · 153 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50ad…2c48backed Texas Longhorns52c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.963060%18 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc61d…ca38backed Texas Longhorns52c26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.482763%17 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5956…e127backed Texas Longhorns52c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.522860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Texas Longhorns65c21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.331666.1%209 W · 107 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfb0…466fbacked Oklahoma Sooners55c18.55$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.299134.1%31 W · 60 L-9.6wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-35.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.