Tennis · resolved market
Ostrava Open: Caty McNally vs Tereza Martincova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e4660e199147fa8c3d5698c8cb88da286119c47509ba041bbd7c6b73b88d8dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- McNallyof McNally, Martincova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,001
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Martincova | 18c | 19,469$3,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,538.95 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…4403backed Martincova | 4c | 11,913$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.16 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Martincova | 18c | 7,419$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.4 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd95c…f1d7backed McNally | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed McNally | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 73 | 75.3%55 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Martincova | 19c | 2,998$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.71 | 326 | 37.4%122 W · 204 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Martincova | 16c | 2,644$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.87 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Martincova | 11c | 2,624$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Martincova | 2c | 1,256$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed McNally | 79c | 1,061$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.81 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Martincova | 19c | 660.54$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.98 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed McNally | 80c | 624.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.93 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…280ebacked Martincova | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Martincova | 16c | 477.69$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.65 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Martincova | 19c | 421$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec06…9d24backed Martincova | 11c | 350.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Martincova | 21c | 333.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Martincova | 19c | 270.95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.64 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…f560backed Martincova | 21c | 250.72$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Martincova | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Martincova | 19c | 249.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Martincova | 5c | 240$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 186 | 36%67 W · 119 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Martincova | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Martincova | 21c | 140$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 255 | 46.3%118 W · 137 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Martincova | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Martincova | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 191 | 29.8%57 W · 134 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8b…0c2abacked Martincova | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fd…9499backed McNally | 79c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Martincova | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Martincova | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 363 | 49.9%181 W · 182 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cea…5013backed Martincova | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0af…6fc6backed McNally | 80c | 45.69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked McNally | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…5bd6backed McNally | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 144 | 75%108 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed McNally | 79c | 24.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…f396backed McNally | 78c | 13.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 79cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…b5bfbacked McNally | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ostrava Open: Caty McNally vs Tereza Martincovathis page
- Set 1 Winner: McNally vs MartincovaMcNally won
- Set Handicap: McNally (-1.5) vs Martincova (+1.5)McNally won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.