Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: McNally (-1.5) vs Martincova (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f4c071b250b735b07ae79bb092b84511ed6cb377d62caffb390054b0b639373
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- McNallyof McNally, Martincova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $712
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $712 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Martincova | 42c | 143.23$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Martincova | 44c | 98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed McNally | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 437 | 49%214 W · 223 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Martincova | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Martincova | 44c | 77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed Martincova | 43c | 73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked McNally | 58c | 69.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked McNally | 53c | 67.69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Martincova | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5935…b8dabacked McNally | 57c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…3d1cbacked McNally | 56c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked McNally | 56c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 56cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab2c…0ab7backed McNally | 57c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…7ed2backed McNally | 56c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…d6a2backed McNally | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed McNally | 57c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce01…5c2abacked McNally | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacc…23c6backed McNally | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…1000backed McNally | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: McNally (-1.5) vs Martincova (+1.5)this page
- Ostrava Open: Caty McNally vs Tereza MartincovaMcNally won
- Set 1 Winner: McNally vs MartincovaMcNally won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.