Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: McNally vs Martincova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79c1d02c22b78b32e287fecc893e6a4fad9b16b398703edd8e08f1bfb805c09a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- McNallyof McNally, Martincova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,702
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,702 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Martincova | 18c | 175.26$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed McNally | 71c | 103.72$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.73 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Martincova | 29c | 92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad0f…0e3cbacked Martincova | 34c | 85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab2…a34fbacked Martincova | 30c | 83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Martincova | 29c | 69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fb…a30cbacked Martincova | 35c | 66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Martincova | 30c | 66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Martincova | 29c | 65.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked McNally | 80c | 64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Martincova | 17c | 61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…ad1ebacked McNally | 70c | 58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed McNally | 70c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0142…822ebacked McNally | 67c | 52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…16c8backed McNally | 70c | 51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf22…531bbacked Martincova | 30c | 48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…08fbbacked Martincova | 30c | 46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8420…58c1backed Martincova | 41c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b2…9c54backed McNally | 70c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Martincova | 28c | 44.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 347 | 45.2%157 W · 190 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe826…cfe1backed McNally | 64c | 44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…ceadbacked Martincova | 30c | 43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a9…c2f9backed McNally | 60c | 39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf4…e21bbacked McNally | 70c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebf…beaabacked McNally | 70c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6724…0e17backed McNally | 65c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca6…f860backed Martincova | 39c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 59cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe98a…23f3backed Martincova | 30c | 36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…d6c3backed Martincova | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc771…69fbbacked McNally | 70c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…85bbbacked McNally | 67c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d3…cb7cbacked McNally | 70c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985b…6b7fbacked McNally | 70c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…6e99backed Martincova | 35c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaec7…e80ebacked McNally | 70c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1da1…2224backed McNally | 63c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed McNally | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed McNally | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1090…1503backed McNally | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 61cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…4434backed Martincova | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a2…90d5backed McNally | 70c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9783…d484backed McNally | 70c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +36%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…148bbacked McNally | 70c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -41%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…9ed1backed McNally | 71c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 57cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…c672backed McNally | 71c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32c2…8977backed McNally | 70c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe8…d748backed McNally | 70c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…9077backed McNally | 70c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6831…08b7backed McNally | 70c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed McNally | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2543…ff28backed McNally | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd8…a190backed McNally | 70c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7b…47e0backed McNally | 70c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 60cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb59…3c6fbacked McNally | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66b…8751backed McNally | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…528dbacked McNally | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1faa…c1f6backed McNally | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacc…23c6backed McNally | 71c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b05…104bbacked McNally | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad6…82d0backed McNally | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…d929backed McNally | 71c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…753bbacked McNally | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c57…d1d7backed McNally | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +21%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…dd55backed McNally | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73cd…db85backed McNally | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked McNally | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8b…2f4ebacked McNally | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: McNally vs Martincovathis page
- Ostrava Open: Caty McNally vs Tereza MartincovaMcNally won
- Set Handicap: McNally (-1.5) vs Martincova (+1.5)McNally won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.