Tennis · resolved market
Hong Kong Tennis Open, Qualification: Alejandro Tabilo vs Luca Van Assche
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d2478e1ddadcd30ead9525961bdfba8e967a381e322190c1906e4acb2bb937f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tabiloof Tabilo, Assche
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,208
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,208 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Assche | 0c | 4,809$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Tabilo | 55c | 2,337$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.13 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tabilo | 67c | 2,239$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.01 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Assche | 52c | 2,131$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.28 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b6…31e9backed Assche | 41c | 2,107$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…7fe5backed Assche | 73c | 2,061$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.39 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80d3…9117backed Tabilo | 55c | 1,820$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Assche | 41c | 1,732$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.19 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Assche | 39c | 1,476$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.43 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd95c…f1d7backed Tabilo | 75c | 1,464$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.02 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Assche | 9c | 1,169$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.29 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +134.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Tabilo | 58c | 1,163$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.11 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f41…f6debacked Tabilo | 66c | 1,135$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272b…0a6ebacked Assche | 33c | 1,098$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.15 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Assche | 9c | 1,080$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.82 | 138 | 16.7%23 W · 115 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Assche | 42c | 1,014$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.3 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Assche | 45c | 842.82$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.27 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Assche | 12c | 767.96$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.4 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Tabilo | 66c | 733.93$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.46 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Tabilo | 65c | 703.89$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Assche | 38c | 599.98$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Tabilo | 57c | 534.13$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 464 | 53%246 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89fd…da5dbacked Tabilo | 57c | 528.38$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.38 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Assche | 45c | 499.98$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.99 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Tabilo | 57c | 478$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.54 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf525…e0eebacked Assche | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Assche | 42c | 369.81$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.1 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Assche | 25c | 318$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.22 | 269 | 21.2%57 W · 212 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Assche | 51c | 317.67$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.01 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Tabilo | 63c | 311.95$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.89 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…984ebacked Assche | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce0d…3a64backed Tabilo | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba79…4c9ebacked Assche | 41c | 294.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Tabilo | 62c | 283.38$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.68 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Assche | 27c | 265.6$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.56 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…f97fbacked Assche | 14c | 243.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Assche | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 108 | 5.6%6 W · 102 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39ad…887abacked Tabilo | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked Tabilo | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Assche | 39c | 170.76$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.03 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Assche | 44c | 170.44$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Tabilo | 56c | 170$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3a…fc49backed Assche | 41c | 121.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3457…0161backed Tabilo | 57c | 118.9$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Tabilo | 49c | 117.29$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.82 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Tabilo | 72c | 114.9$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Assche | 55c | 114.14$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.48 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Assche | 15c | 107.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x0df3…53d7backed Tabilo | 52c | 101.17$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a7…d292backed Assche | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc67d…d885backed Assche | 61c | 98.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Tabilo | 54c | 92.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Assche | 26c | 90.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Assche | 29c | 88.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 186 | 63.4%118 W · 68 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf5…0f6fbacked Assche | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Assche | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 174 | 32.2%56 W · 118 L | -15.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0795…2fa6backed Tabilo | 66c | 64.11$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…6ecebacked Assche | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42a3…56d0backed Tabilo | 77c | 42.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8069…30e3backed Tabilo | 64c | 39.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…0837backed Tabilo | 64c | 38.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…907bbacked Tabilo | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Tabilo | 73c | 30.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4536…693cbacked Tabilo | 54c | 27.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c13…e7febacked Tabilo | 66c | 27.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200b…65f7backed Tabilo | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Tabilo | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 238 | 52.1%124 W · 114 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Tabilo | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…de18backed Tabilo | 65c | 22.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Tabilo | 64c | 19.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tabilo | 79c | 17.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2b…c35dbacked Tabilo | 66c | 16.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bed…6b26backed Tabilo | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.