Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Harvard Crimson vs. Yale Bulldogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29b5acd90a163510bc163d572861c3b6ecfad1600428360537e226b224abbdee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Harvard Crimsonof Harvard Crimson, Yale Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,641
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,804
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,641 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yale Bulldogs | 52c | 16,405$8,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,530.39 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yale Bulldogs | 48c | 7,869$3,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,769.84 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Harvard Crimson | 48c | 5,331$2,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,772.18 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Harvard Crimson | 51c | 4,022$2,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,975.37 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Harvard Crimson | 60c | 3,881$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.64 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Yale Bulldogs | 51c | 3,773$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.36 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Harvard Crimson | 49c | 3,362$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,698.63 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Harvard Crimson | 55c | 3,257$1,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.5 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Harvard Crimson | 50c | 2,613$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.61 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Harvard Crimson | 48c | 2,464$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.28 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Harvard Crimson | 48c | 2,238$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.76 | 216 | 36.1%78 W · 138 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Harvard Crimson | 48c | 2,189$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.76 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yale Bulldogs | 45c | 1,827$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.69 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Harvard Crimson | 47c | 1,803$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.49 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd95c…f1d7backed Harvard Crimson | 49c | 1,765$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.05 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b2…e009backed Yale Bulldogs | 5c | 1,400$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd607…6ddcbacked Yale Bulldogs | 4c | 1,200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yale Bulldogs | 36c | 1,085$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.22 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…348fbacked Yale Bulldogs | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 0%0 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Harvard Crimson | 47c | 983$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.65 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yale Bulldogs | 53c | 820.79$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.63 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc847…262fbacked Yale Bulldogs | 11c | 700$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Harvard Crimson | 53c | 592$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.44 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3008…50d9backed Harvard Crimson | 68c | 537.8$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.31 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yale Bulldogs | 51c | 415.1$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.7 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52de…e0f6backed Yale Bulldogs | 7c | 400$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b8…51cfbacked Yale Bulldogs | 9c | 382.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yale Bulldogs | 49c | 319.99$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.94 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Harvard Crimson | 55c | 315.83$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.8 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb0…4cd4backed Harvard Crimson | 31c | 269.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.7 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Harvard Crimson | 58c | 250.42$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.11 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Harvard Crimson | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…fc90backed Harvard Crimson | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.85 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Harvard Crimson | 46c | 152.27$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Harvard Crimson | 13c | 143.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.17 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Harvard Crimson | 13c | 136.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.04 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Harvard Crimson | 48c | 131.24$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.95 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Harvard Crimson | 48c | 128$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.56 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Harvard Crimson | 12c | 115.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.1 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Harvard Crimson | 50c | 94.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yale Bulldogs | 53c | 94.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yale Bulldogs | 54c | 90.01$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df1…2da7backed Yale Bulldogs | 52c | 88.58$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Yale Bulldogs | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…5302backed Harvard Crimson | 57c | 56.52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…f17dbacked Harvard Crimson | 52c | 52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Harvard Crimson | 41c | 48.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d38…dee2backed Harvard Crimson | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Harvard Crimson | 50c | 38.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Harvard Crimson | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e46…75c2backed Harvard Crimson | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…2ecabacked Harvard Crimson | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Harvard Crimson | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Harvard Crimson | 57c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b7…9d21backed Yale Bulldogs | 44c | 28.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.