MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fbf58a4c1277082f55591eeb501a70f9a1fbb1f0af789597a3cd9b1b33e93b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas City Royalsof Kansas City Royals, Toronto Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $188,024
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $188,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,024 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Kansas City Royals | 51c | 32,000$16,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,680 | 772 | 53.9%416 W · 356 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,349.99 | 5,567 | 50.5%2,812 W · 2,755 L | +25.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf0…728fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 12c | 13,015$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.7 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.99 | 548 | 51.3%281 W · 267 L | +24.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7942…b60bbacked Kansas City Royals | 51c | 7,661$3,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,754.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 17c | 7,356$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.71 | 11,102 | 51.5%5,715 W · 5,387 L | +135.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 28c | 7,227$2,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,058.76 | 11,653 | 52.8%6,157 W · 5,496 L | +214.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 6,120$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998.79 | 218 | 37.2%81 W · 137 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…89aabacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Toronto Blue Jays | 13c | 5,221$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.94 | 986 | 45%444 W · 542 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 4,546$2,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,273.2 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 3,934$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.42 | 1,604 | 48.6%779 W · 825 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5911…a5a8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 17c | 3,739$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627 | 8,304 | 46.2%3,840 W · 4,464 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8aa…7b9bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 3,504$1,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 3,428$1,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,693.6 | 2,327 | 51.1%1,188 W · 1,139 L | +26.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.18 | 1,698 | 50.2%853 W · 845 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Kansas City Royals | 60c | 2,492$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.8 | 4,120 | 57.6%2,375 W · 1,745 L | +67.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 2,471$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.79 | 933 | 53.9%503 W · 430 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 3c | 2,463$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.55 | 8,484 | 47.9%4,062 W · 4,422 L | +79.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 29c | 2,437$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.62 | 2,077 | 39.3%817 W · 1,260 L | -27.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7498…8b4dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 2,308$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 2,255$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a3…9e12backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.97 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 248 | 39.1%97 W · 151 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Kansas City Royals | 72c | 2,000$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 312 | 47.8%149 W · 163 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…a484backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 1,650$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 1,926 | 53.4%1,029 W · 897 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 1,600$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816 | 655 | 52.5%344 W · 311 L | +29.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 1,495$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.5 | 1,478 | 51%754 W · 724 L | -19.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Kansas City Royals | 51c | 1,412$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.27 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 1,373$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.55 | 332 | 56.3%187 W · 145 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 1,351$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.99 | 581 | 39.4%229 W · 352 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 1,306$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.92 | 1,420 | 48.9%694 W · 726 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Kansas City Royals | 67c | 1,281$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.92 | 8,682 | 52.6%4,563 W · 4,119 L | +505.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc15c…6122backed Toronto Blue Jays | 10c | 1,147$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.28 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 1,090$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.5 | 317 | 52.7%167 W · 150 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 1,057$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.93 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3814…17bcbacked Kansas City Royals | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9707…e3bcbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 226 | 49.6%112 W · 114 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 979.33$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.62 | 1,543 | 51.1%789 W · 754 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Toronto Blue Jays | 17c | 976.78$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.05 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 782.61$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.31 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 748.98$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367 | 934 | 46%430 W · 504 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Kansas City Royals | 74c | 618.41$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.12 | 2,175 | 51.5%1,121 W · 1,054 L | +54.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 263 | 52.1%137 W · 126 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 556.15$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.51 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 556$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.44 | 2,372 | 49.7%1,179 W · 1,193 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 541.72$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.86 | 384 | 57.3%220 W · 164 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 538$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 533.13$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.57 | 594 | 52.9%314 W · 280 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f42…6fcbbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 398 | 40.5%161 W · 237 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48a6…f266backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e55…a332backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 495.65$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.24 | 364 | 51.4%187 W · 177 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 448.98$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…2b75backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 440$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.6 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 420$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 397 | 56.4%224 W · 173 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 420$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 167 | 41.3%69 W · 98 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8499…950dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 384.61$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.46 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Toronto Blue Jays | 5c | 375.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 229 | 43.2%99 W · 130 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 373.14$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.63 | 7,078 | 50.5%3,576 W · 3,502 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 308.35$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.09 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f08…c518backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 306.12$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 597 | 52.6%314 W · 283 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…836abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 220 | 22.7%50 W · 170 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 297.24$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.72 | 1,877 | 50.2%943 W · 934 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Kansas City Royals | 60c | 249.2$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.68 | 1,267 | 58.5%741 W · 526 L | +26.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Kansas City Royals | 60c | 246.72$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.69 | 533 | 57.6%307 W · 226 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Toronto Blue Jays | 18c | 239.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.73 | 439 | 51.5%226 W · 213 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Toronto Blue Jays | 28c | 234.14$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.47 | 367 | 53.1%195 W · 172 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1d…faffbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 233$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Toronto Blue Jays | 24c | 210$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2,153 | 50.2%1,080 W · 1,073 L | +27.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3,320 | 46.2%1,535 W · 1,785 L | +22.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Kansas City Royals | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e86…ac3ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…3c66backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9237…9c99backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85b3…33efbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 194.64$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.38 | 3,562 | 51%1,817 W · 1,745 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59dd…e944backed Kansas City Royals | 69c | 192.29$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.61 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 191.33$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.75 | 526 | 47.3%249 W · 277 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…37c8backed Kansas City Royals | 69c | 185.19$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.41 | 101 | 71.3%72 W · 29 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…1432backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 176.59$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.53 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77c9…f4dabacked Kansas City Royals | 62c | 156.45$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.45 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 152.04$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 315 | 54%170 W · 145 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Kansas City Royals | 63c | 144.48$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 1,049 | 58.4%613 W · 436 L | +21.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd02…889fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 13c | 143.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebdf…1fcbbacked Kansas City Royals | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,311 | 50.7%665 W · 646 L | -6.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 134.74$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.02 | 854 | 40.4%345 W · 509 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 133$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.17 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Kansas City Royals | 65c | 127.69$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.69 | 411 | 53.8%221 W · 190 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e7…af6bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 125$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 463 | 50.5%234 W · 229 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Kansas City Royals | 60c | 124.6$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.84 | 462 | 58%268 W · 194 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Kansas City Royals | 60c | 124.6$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.84 | 608 | 59.2%360 W · 248 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 23c | 120.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 944 | 56.5%533 W · 411 L | +32.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jaysthis page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 10.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 13.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue JaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.