MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf444c701a2865e72683907805f1dd89bfc5441aad89bfa859a28f34e434d9067
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Redsof Cincinnati Reds, San Francisco Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $516,302
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $553,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $516,302 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 42,944$15,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,283.91 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked San Francisco Giants | 52c | 40,000$20,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,800 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 31c | 33,031$10,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,726.31 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed San Francisco Giants | 53c | 32,398$17,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,250.03 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…ab5abacked San Francisco Giants | 67c | 22,500$15,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,090 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 19,308$10,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,040.04 | 883 | 49.3%435 W · 448 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 15,153$7,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,994.02 | 620 | 43.1%267 W · 353 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 540 | 51.1%276 W · 264 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68a4…856ebacked San Francisco Giants | 51c | 8,582$4,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,376.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 7,988$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,168.51 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked San Francisco Giants | 51c | 7,986$4,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,108.47 | 1,386 | 50.6%702 W · 684 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 7,985$3,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,192.58 | 884 | 46.3%409 W · 475 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 7,951$3,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,807.54 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Cincinnati Reds | 64c | 7,828$4,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,834.39 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 7,514$3,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,896.86 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…bd70backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 5,184$2,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,903.04 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 5,038$2,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,216.82 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed San Francisco Giants | 68c | 4,582$3,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,118.43 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 4,539$2,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,356.77 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 23c | 4,397$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,397.16 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…a00bbacked San Francisco Giants | 45c | 4,180$1,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,882.1 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 4,154$1,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,852.67 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 3,776$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.53 | 926 | 45.9%425 W · 501 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 3,615$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,867.03 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed San Francisco Giants | 17c | 3,556$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.37 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 3,326$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.43 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 3,222$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643.22 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Cincinnati Reds | 32c | 2,982$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020.59 | 356 | 58.1%207 W · 149 L | +26.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked San Francisco Giants | 64c | 2,817$1,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,815.98 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked San Francisco Giants | 34c | 2,755$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.19 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -14.0wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -35%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked San Francisco Giants | 52c | 2,587$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.34 | 577 | 53.2%307 W · 270 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 2,182$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.94 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 2,149$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.58 | 274 | 46.7%128 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf824…ebe3backed Cincinnati Reds | 8c | 2,054$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.39 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 2,048$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.48 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 2,038$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.54 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…dd00backed San Francisco Giants | 53c | 2,025$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.99 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 1,976$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.92 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 1,786$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.71 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 1,636$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.61 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 1,531$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.92 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 624 | 47.6%297 W · 327 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 1,459$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.64 | 251 | 53%133 W · 118 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 1,248$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.49 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 1,130$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.44 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 1,109$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.64 | 405 | 43.5%176 W · 229 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 1,035$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.2 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 1,011$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.29 | 1,003 | 44.6%447 W · 556 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3814…17bcbacked San Francisco Giants | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed San Francisco Giants | 63c | 999$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.37 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1713…1986backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 935.32$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.62 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…f409backed Cincinnati Reds | 32c | 935.05$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked San Francisco Giants | 42c | 934.06$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 164 | 39%64 W · 100 L | -12.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 856.28$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.35 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a26…1589backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 791.56$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.28 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Cincinnati Reds | 64c | 774.18$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.07 | 508 | 56.9%289 W · 219 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 716.15$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.23 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked San Francisco Giants | 51c | 668.41$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.89 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed San Francisco Giants | 6c | 599.01$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 592.45$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.18 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…954abacked San Francisco Giants | 59c | 571.42$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.14 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Cincinnati Reds | 34c | 536.07$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.01 | 869 | 48.4%421 W · 448 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5703…1048backed San Francisco Giants | 14c | 513.04$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.79 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 500$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.15 | 1,855 | 44%817 W · 1,038 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 208 | 36.5%76 W · 132 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed San Francisco Giants | 62c | 497.31$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.07 | 333 | 52.3%174 W · 159 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 17c | 437.01$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.93 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed San Francisco Giants | 27c | 393.67$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.38 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked San Francisco Giants | 31c | 392.37$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.53 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 387.84$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.68 | 592 | 43.2%256 W · 336 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked San Francisco Giants | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…dc4dbacked San Francisco Giants | 53c | 377.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…f740backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 375.71$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 369$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.88 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46b8…c847backed San Francisco Giants | 17c | 359.9$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 354.1$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.79 | 1,240 | 58.1%721 W · 519 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed San Francisco Giants | 19c | 351.81$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.72 | 820 | 42.6%349 W · 471 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa466…1c77backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 340$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.91 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +238.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5e…2ea3backed Cincinnati Reds | 6c | 335.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.23 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Cincinnati Reds | 11c | 299.31$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.74 | 623 | 46.2%288 W · 335 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed San Francisco Giants | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cincinnati Reds | 66c | 258.05$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.73 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 256$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.56 | 138 | 53.6%74 W · 64 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3950…0d49backed San Francisco Giants | 19c | 251.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 484 | 45.9%222 W · 262 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a4…cf87backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 248.54$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Cincinnati Reds | 30c | 244.38$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.49 | 231 | 42.9%99 W · 132 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 242.48$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.09 | 799 | 43.2%345 W · 454 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 318 | 49.7%158 W · 160 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 234.7$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.11 | 620 | 49.2%305 W · 315 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked San Francisco Giants | 68c | 233.63$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.16 | 886 | 56.4%500 W · 386 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 233.45$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.88 | 527 | 52.2%275 W · 252 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 230.96$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.35 | 1,026 | 58.1%596 W · 430 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked San Francisco Giants | 17c | 230.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 313 | 30.7%96 W · 217 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giantsthis page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 10.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco GiantsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.