TailMyPicks
Market

MLB · resolved market

Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cincinnati Redsof Cincinnati Reds, San Francisco Giants
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$516,302
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$553,695

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $516,302 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cincinnati Reds36c42,944$15,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,283.913,04148%1,461 W · 1,580 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked San Francisco Giants52c40,000$20,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,80017248.3%83 W · 89 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds31c33,031$10,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,726.3111,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed San Francisco Giants53c32,398$17,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,250.034,36847.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L-79.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea6a…ab5abacked San Francisco Giants67c22,500$15,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,090955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed San Francisco Giants52c19,308$10,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,040.0488349.3%435 W · 448 L-4.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Cincinnati Reds47c15,153$7,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,994.0262043.1%267 W · 353 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Cincinnati Reds48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,20054051.1%276 W · 264 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x68a4…856ebacked San Francisco Giants51c8,582$4,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,376.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds35c7,988$2,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,168.5110,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked San Francisco Giants51c7,986$4,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,108.471,38650.6%702 W · 684 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Cincinnati Reds47c7,985$3,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,192.5888446.3%409 W · 475 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+37.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked San Francisco Giants48c7,951$3,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,807.548,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Cincinnati Reds64c7,828$4,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,834.394,08757.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L+66.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Cincinnati Reds48c7,514$3,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,896.865,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86f4…bd70backed Cincinnati Reds44c5,184$2,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,903.041526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-47.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5ccf…c116backed San Francisco Giants44c5,038$2,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,216.829745.4%44 W · 53 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed San Francisco Giants68c4,582$3,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,118.4397044.9%436 W · 534 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Cincinnati Reds48c4,539$2,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,356.774,51548.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L-46.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…3e2bbacked Cincinnati Reds23c4,397$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,397.165036%18 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5d8…a00bbacked San Francisco Giants45c4,180$1,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,882.12152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Francisco Giants45c4,154$1,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,852.678,40347.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L+76.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed San Francisco Giants51c3,776$1,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,925.5392645.9%425 W · 501 L-12.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Cincinnati Reds48c3,615$1,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,867.033,50951%1,789 W · 1,720 L+53.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed San Francisco Giants17c3,556$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.372,04439.5%808 W · 1,236 L-24.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x927c…6633backed San Francisco Giants45c3,326$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.438450%42 W · 42 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed San Francisco Giants51c3,222$1,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,643.227750.6%39 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Cincinnati Reds48c3,125$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6251,68150.1%842 W · 839 L-22.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Cincinnati Reds32c2,982$961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,020.5935658.1%207 W · 149 L+26.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked San Francisco Giants64c2,817$1,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,815.9817745.8%81 W · 96 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec37…85bdbacked San Francisco Giants34c2,755$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.1910031%31 W · 69 L-14.0wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-35%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked San Francisco Giants52c2,587$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.3457753.2%307 W · 270 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Cincinnati Reds48c2,182$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.941,63549.3%806 W · 829 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Cincinnati Reds54c2,149$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.5827446.7%128 W · 146 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf824…ebe3backed Cincinnati Reds8c2,054$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,894.392835.7%10 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+33.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Cincinnati Reds49c2,048$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.482,31151%1,179 W · 1,132 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3a6…71bdbacked Cincinnati Reds48c2,038$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.5410757.9%62 W · 45 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3061…dd00backed San Francisco Giants53c2,025$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.991637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds48c1,976$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.926,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98e1…3241backed Cincinnati Reds42c1,786$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.7110146.5%47 W · 54 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Cincinnati Reds38c1,636$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.613351.5%17 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed Cincinnati Reds48c1,531$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.923855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed San Francisco Giants52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78062447.6%297 W · 327 L-2.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fe8…72bcbacked Cincinnati Reds53c1,459$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.6425153%133 W · 118 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Cincinnati Reds49c1,248$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.499,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Cincinnati Reds58c1,130$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.4411947.9%57 W · 62 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Cincinnati Reds49c1,109$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.6440543.5%176 W · 229 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed Cincinnati Reds48c1,035$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.27247.2%34 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Cincinnati Reds48c1,011$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.291,00344.6%447 W · 556 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Cincinnati Reds48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5201,84550.7%936 W · 909 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3814…17bcbacked San Francisco Giants51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5104753.2%25 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed San Francisco Giants50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50098349.8%490 W · 493 L-18.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed San Francisco Giants63c999$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.371,84849.6%917 W · 931 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1713…1986backed San Francisco Giants51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Cincinnati Reds48c935.32$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.6221650.5%109 W · 107 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe026…f409backed Cincinnati Reds32c935.05$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.46850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked San Francisco Giants42c934.06$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39016439%64 W · 100 L-12.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-16.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed San Francisco Giants46c856.28$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.354,18750.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L+94.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a26…1589backed Cincinnati Reds46c791.56$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.288952.8%47 W · 42 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Cincinnati Reds64c774.18$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.0750856.9%289 W · 219 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cincinnati Reds41c716.15$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.234,40544.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L+80.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked San Francisco Giants51c668.41$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.8914657.5%84 W · 62 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed San Francisco Giants6c599.01$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.944429.5%13 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Cincinnati Reds58c592.45$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.181,79750.4%906 W · 891 L-1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6daa…954abacked San Francisco Giants59c571.42$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.141233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-50.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Cincinnati Reds34c536.07$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.0186948.4%421 W · 448 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5703…1048backed San Francisco Giants14c513.04$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.791827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-6.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Cincinnati Reds60c500$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.151,85544%817 W · 1,038 L-31.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Cincinnati Reds48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26020836.5%76 W · 132 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Cincinnati Reds48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2602231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-33.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Cincinnati Reds50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25022848.2%110 W · 118 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed San Francisco Giants62c497.31$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.0733352.3%174 W · 159 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Cincinnati Reds17c437.01$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.9314129.8%42 W · 99 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed San Francisco Giants27c393.67$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.381,93941.2%799 W · 1,140 L-30.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked San Francisco Giants31c392.37$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.537341.1%30 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffae…adaebacked Cincinnati Reds48c387.84$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.6859243.2%256 W · 336 L-2.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked San Francisco Giants52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023155%127 W · 104 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2470…dc4dbacked San Francisco Giants53c377.35$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005554.5%30 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83c3…f740backed Cincinnati Reds47c375.71$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.85850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Cincinnati Reds48c369$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.887243.1%31 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46b8…c847backed San Francisco Giants17c359.9$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-39.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Cincinnati Reds57c354.1$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.791,24058.1%721 W · 519 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed San Francisco Giants19c351.81$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7282042.6%349 W · 471 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa466…1c77backed San Francisco Giants42c340$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.912250%11 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+238.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c5e…2ea3backed Cincinnati Reds6c335.01$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.23496.1%3 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Cincinnati Reds11c299.31$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.7462346.2%288 W · 335 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54d0…8e20backed San Francisco Giants54c277.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15032656.7%185 W · 141 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Cincinnati Reds66c258.05$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.731,52059.1%899 W · 621 L+78.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd3c…35cfbacked Cincinnati Reds49c256$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.5613853.6%74 W · 64 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3950…0d49backed San Francisco Giants19c251.2$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.240%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Cincinnati Reds40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15048445.9%222 W · 262 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24a4…cf87backed Cincinnati Reds48c248.54$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.24850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Cincinnati Reds30c244.38$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.4923142.9%99 W · 132 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked Cincinnati Reds48c242.48$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.0979943.2%345 W · 454 L-2.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Cincinnati Reds50c240$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12031849.7%158 W · 160 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked San Francisco Giants48c234.7$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.1162049.2%305 W · 315 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked San Francisco Giants68c233.63$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.1688656.4%500 W · 386 L+30.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Cincinnati Reds35c233.45$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.8852752.2%275 W · 252 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Cincinnati Reds56c230.96$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.351,02658.1%596 W · 430 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked San Francisco Giants17c230.62$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4031330.7%96 W · 217 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.