MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96f6d10739a8cc2d3a2ed46b285adfeed89698c3af480571435ce3db918231f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $150,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $154,932
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 42c | 81,708$34,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,441.93 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 58c | 60,689$35,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,587.76 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Over | 43c | 17,941$7,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,714.44 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 57c | 12,263$7,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,232.67 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b38…1dccbacked Over | 41c | 8,700$3,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,566.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Under | 58c | 8,621$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,620.69 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 8,290$4,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,543.29 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Under | 59c | 5,942$3,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,436.22 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 71c | 5,845$4,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,693.7 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 58c | 5,003$2,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,087.05 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 58c | 4,817$2,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,032.27 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 44c | 4,261$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,874.77 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Under | 58c | 3,500$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 42c | 3,198$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.55 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 44c | 1,978$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.32 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 58c | 1,954$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.06 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Under | 59c | 1,356$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.93 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 60c | 1,301$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.11 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Over | 42c | 1,227$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.34 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…bf33backed Under | 62c | 1,212$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.36 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 26c | 975.91$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.88 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 58c | 848$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.16 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 36c | 800$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Over | 42c | 793$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.85 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 59c | 637.07$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.2 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…bb4ebacked Under | 55c | 543.64$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.64 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +4.8wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 53c | 501.04$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Under | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Under | 55c | 439.2$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.64 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…26e3backed Under | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd69a…d57fbacked Under | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Under | 59c | 416.14$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.62 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 58c | 401.16$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.01 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 58c | 383$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.77 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 41c | 379.64$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.24 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 60c | 353.59$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.15 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bb…1b01backed Under | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 60c | 310.94$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.38 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed Under | 58c | 297$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.74 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Under | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Over | 42c | 263$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.46 | 264 | 44.3%117 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Under | 59c | 255$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 52c | 238.4$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.36 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 62c | 226.56$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.3 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 42c | 224.39$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 42c | 218.69$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.85 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 58c | 205.2$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.27 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 76c | 187.84$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.23 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 41c | 179.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 42c | 178.96$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 276 | 46.7%129 W · 147 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe426…f4ffbacked Over | 42c | 176.79$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Under | 57c | 175.46$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.7 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…4fffbacked Under | 57c | 175.46$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.7 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Over | 35c | 159.68$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.54 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 41c | 159.04$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.9 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 45c | 156.22$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 41c | 149.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 61c | 137.48$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.86 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 36c | 122.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.38 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 44c | 121.95$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.91 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 57c | 117$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.31 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aeb…b77fbacked Under | 64c | 112$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0477…631cbacked Under | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…ad97backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 143 | 58%83 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 439 | 54.7%240 W · 199 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Over | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 55c | 92.59$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.52 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7884…1fb0backed Under | 59c | 90$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…a97ebacked Under | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa76…157cbacked Under | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3e…d412backed Under | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Under | 58c | 77.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 292 | 55.8%163 W · 129 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Over | 44c | 74.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe8…ac5ebacked Under | 69c | 72.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Over | 45c | 69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 48c | 68.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…fdbebacked Under | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 82 | 64.6%53 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 286 | 39.2%112 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 39c | 57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 46c | 56.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80a6…bfeebacked Over | 42c | 54.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Over | 47c | 54.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 43c | 53.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…2c65backed Under | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 219 | 54.8%120 W · 99 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 28c | 45.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 46c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Over | 43c | 42.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 46c | 42.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 130 | 25.4%33 W · 97 L | -17.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 57c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Over | 48c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x409d…8f47backed Over | 42c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e7…d01abacked Under | 55c | 36.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis CardinalsAtlanta Braves won
- Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.